MLB Home Run Derby ⚾🔥 (July 13, 2026)

We are coming off a red-hot stretch over the last five months, locking in consistent wins across the board! SportsFBI & OTB Spreads featuring BlowOutAlert is back live this Money Monday, July 13, 2026, to keep the winning momentum rolling right through All-Star Week. We’ve got deep analytical breakdowns, prime value spots, and high-confidence slips lined up to cash out big tonight!

📊 MLB Home Run Derby & Board Breakdown

It’s Home Run Derby night at Citizens Bank Park, one of our absolute favorite events on the sports calendar to handicap! MLB shifted the derby rules this year—no time clock and no outs, just 20 max swings in Round 1 and 15 swings in the semi/final rounds. This format heavily favors power hitters who can find a clean rhythm and make every single pitch count. Using our sharp data modeling at SportsFBI & OTB Spreads featuring BlowOutAlert, we've broken down swing metrics, stadium factors, and exit distance data to give you the ultimate edge.

🎯 Top Teams & Bets We're Backing Today

Chicago Bulls -5.5 (NBA Summer League)

• Stacked roster features Caleb Wilson (coming off a massive 35-point performance), Matas Buzelis, and top lottery talent.
• Solid paint protection and veteran Summer League experience give Chicago a massive edge over the opposition.
• The Play: Lay the -5.5 points with confidence in tonight's Summer League action.

Kyle Schwarber — Longest Home Run (+340)

• Schwarber has already logged massive regular season home runs of 488 ft and 483 ft.
• Hitting in his home park at Citizens Bank Park where he knows every vantage point.
• The Play: Back Schwarber at +340 to crush the single longest bomb of the derby.

3-Leg Semifinal Parlay (To Reach Semifinals)

• Leg 1: Junior Caminero (Red-hot bat, last year's finalist and current betting favorite).
• Leg 2: Kyle Schwarber (Home stadium power bat expected to hit ~12 in Round 1).
• Leg 3: Munetaka Murakami (Massive frame built to mash under the 20-swing format).
• The Play: Parlay all three power hitters to advance out of the first round into the semifinals.

❄️ Teams & Spots We're Proceeding With Caution

France vs. Spain (FIFA Matchup)

• Data charts show France controlling slight momentum spikes near the midline, but Spain matches up extremely well head-to-head.
• Expect a razor-thin contest; fade blowout lines on either side and stick to tighter match angles.

Jac Caglianone & Ben Rice First-Round Totals

• Set at lower benchmark lines (8.5 home runs). While both will make their 20 swings count much better than last year's low performers, approach individual totals on unproven derby bats with controlled stake sizes.

💣 Player Props & Target Slips

• Munetaka Murakami + Kyle Schwarber Over 20+ Combined HRs (Round 1) — (-112 on FanDuel) — Schwarber projected for ~12 HRs, Murakami projected for 9-11 HRs.
• Junior Caminero Over 9.5 Home Runs (Round 1) — Riding the momentum of last year's electric run and a red-hot regular season bat.
• Ben Rice Over 8.5 Home Runs (Round 1) — Top value spot on the board for an individual first-round total.
• Jac Caglianone Longest Home Run (+500) — Sleeper longshot pick boasting twin 466 ft home runs on record.

Ready to crush the board with us? Lock in with SportsFBI & OTB Spreads featuring BlowOutAlert today!