🚨 MLB Predictions & Best Value Plays ⚾🔥 (July 9, 2026)

We had a solid day yesterday going 7-4 on our 11 called games, cashing out on both our Lock of the Day (Washington Nationals) and Play of the Day (Detroit Tigers)! We are right back on the grind to keep this momentum going for Tequila 🎯 Top Teams We're Backing Today

• ⚾ Atlanta Braves (Moneyline) & Over 9 Runs: The Pirates just didn't show up yesterday, and Mitch Keller has a ton of red on his trend line. We're fading Keller, trusting the Braves, and taking the Over since both pitchers give up plenty of earned runs.
• ⚾ New York Mets (Run Line -1.5): Sean Manaea has looked awful, and Michael Wacha consistently struggles against good bats. The Mets are hitting the ball much better this July, so we're going right back to the well for that plus-money value.
• ⚾ Tampa Bay Rays (Moneyline): We cannot back Ryan Weathers after he got beat up for 4 earned runs against Minnesota. Drew Rasmussen is one of the best pitchers in the MLB right now, and the BlowOutAlert engine shows a clear +4 run differential edge for Tampa Bay.
• ⚾ Baltimore Orioles (Moneyline -131): Trevor Rogers is throwing really good baseball, while David Peterson just got worked for 10 earned runs against the Cubs. We're trusting the streaky Orioles hitters to get after Peterson early.
• ⚾ Chicago White Sox (Moneyline -117): Left-hander Anthony Kay has been lights out at home with a 3.1 ERA, and the Red Sox historically struggle against lefties. The White Sox offense is clicking, and the BlowOutAlert engine edge backs this play fully.
• ⚾ Seattle Mariners (Run Line -1.5): Bryce Miller is dominant, tossing zero earned runs in five of his last ten starts. Jason Junk boasts a sub-5 ERA but can give up bunches of runs. The Mariners' bats will do enough to cover the run line.
• ⚾ Philadelphia Phillies (Run Line -1.5): This is a total vengeance game! Jesús Luzardo is phenomenal, giving up only 2 earned runs in his previous two starts before his last outing. Brady Singer has a glaring 7.0 road ERA, so expect the Phillies to pull away between the 5th and 7th innings.
• ⚾ St. Louis Cardinals (Moneyline): We loved this play today and it cashed! We are not fading Andre Pallante. The Cardinals have the hot bats and a +1 run differential edge against Logan Henderson, making this another beautiful plus-money spot.
• ⚾ Los Angeles Angels (Moneyline +123): Reid Detmers can control the bump when he's hot, and Nathan Eovaldi gives up 2-4 earned runs almost every start. With Mike Trout back in the order and Joe Adell hitting bombs, this +123 value is incredible.
• ⚾ San Diego Padres (Moneyline) & Over 9 Runs: Merrill Kelly gets peppered in the first five innings all the time. The Padres hit the ball so much better at Petco Park and have an elite late-game bullpen to close it out in a potential shootout.
• ⚾ Colorado Rockies (Moneyline): The Rockies have been absolutely crushing righties over the last 30 days. Ryan Feltner is coming off a solid 9-strikeout performance, and we trust Colorado's bats to outpace Adrian Houser and the Giants.

❄️ Teams We're Proceeding With Caution

• ⚠️ Cleveland Guardians (Moneyline): Gavin Williams is still an elite pitcher in a bounce-back spot, but the Twins are hitting the ball much better lately. We are forced to pick a side here, so we lean Cleveland, but we're not in love with this game.
• ⚠️ Detroit Tigers (Moneyline) & Over 9 Runs: Framber Valdez has been wildly inconsistent, and Jack Perkins is highly gettable. We don't love the juice on this play because both pitchers are vulnerable, but we slightly lean toward the Tigers and the Over.

💣 Player Props & Target Slips

• 💥 Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): Look for Schwarber to find himself a home run tomorrow against Brady Singer's atrocious 7.0 road ERA.
• 💥 Mike Trout & Joe Adell (Angels): Their bats have officially woken up—Trout is back, and Adell just went yard twice. Target their offensive props against Nathan Eovaldi.
• 💥 Target the Overs: The Braves/Pirates, Athletics/Tigers, and Diamondbacks/Padres matchups all sit in prime positions to smash the Over 9 runs line.

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