โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

ARI vs
STL

Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals

June 25, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
ARI 86-76  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 68%
Projected Score STL 5 ยท ARI 4
Blowout Probability 12%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 4.71 vs 5.72) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI STL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Recent run diff (+1.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL ARI SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

ARI โ€” Away RHP
Zac Gallen
Zac Gallen
ERA6.07
WHIP1.55
FIP5.23
K/95.5
K/BB2.5
Road ERA: 6.82
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy
ERA3.95
WHIP1.28
FIP4.21
K/96.2
K/BB3.6
Home ERA: 3.98

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

ARI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Ketel Marte 2B
  2. 2 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  3. 3 Corbin Carroll RF
  4. 4 Adrian Del Castillo C
  5. 5 Max Kepler LF
  6. 6 Pavin Smith 1B
  7. 7 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. DH
  8. 8 Ildemaro Vargas 3B
  9. 9 Tommy Troy CF
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera C
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker DH
  5. 5 Lars Nootbaar RF
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church CF
  8. 8 Blaze Jordan 3B
  9. 9 Jose Fermin LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

ARI Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.647 0.708
Bullpen FIP 3.95 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +0.2 -1.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -2 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
ARI +1.5 (-190)
STL -1.5 (+156)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.0 (-109)
Under 9.0 (-111)
Moneyline
ARI +109
STL -132

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

ARI โ€” Away
Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo SS
Singles
0.5
65 ยท OVER
Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll RF
RBIs
0.5
65 ยท OVER
Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
59 ยท OVER
Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 3B
Singles
0.5
55 ยท OVER
STL โ€” Home
Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
68 ยท OVER
JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 2B
Singles
0.5
66 ยท OVER
Jose Fermin Jose Fermin LF
Singles
0.5
58 ยท OVER
Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
56 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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