โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
BOS

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

July 21, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
BAL 79-82  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 59%
Projected Score BOS 5 ยท BAL 4
Blowout Probability 6%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP confirmed BAL, home TBD โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 6.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Recent run diff (+2.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS BAL SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Line move (5pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away RHP
Kyle Bradish
Kyle Bradish
ERA4.12
WHIP1.46
FIP4.30
K/98.2
K/BB4.2
Road ERA: 4.93
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Eduardo Rivera
Eduardo Rivera

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Pete Alonso 1B
  3. 3 Gunnar Henderson SS
  4. 4 Tyler O'Neill RF
  5. 5 Coby Mayo DH
  6. 6 Leody Taveras CF
  7. 7 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B
  8. 8 Jackson Holliday 2B
  9. 9 Chadwick Tromp C
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Anthony Seigler 2B
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Masataka Yoshida DH
  6. 6 Caleb Durbin 3B
  7. 7 Jarren Duran LF
  8. 8 Andruw Monasterio SS
  9. 9 Carlos Narvaez C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.684 0.709
Bullpen FIP 3.94 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +1.4 +3.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL -1.5 (+155)
BOS +1.5 (-189)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (-119)
Under 8.5 (-102)
Moneyline
BAL -107
BOS -112

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 2 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B
Singles
0.5
52 ยท OVER
Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson SS
Singles
0.5
51 ยท OVER
BOS โ€” Home
Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Singles
0.5
61 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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