โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

CHC vs
NYM

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

June 22, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
CHC 89-73  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Chicago Cubs
Confidence 65%
Projected Score CHC 5 ยท NYM 4
Blowout Probability 10%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC SP quality edge (FIP 5.59 vs 7.23) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Defensive edge (dWAR 8.7) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM K edge vs CHC lineup (11.0 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Recent run diff (+3.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Line move (4pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CHC โ€” Away LHP
Shota Imanaga
Shota Imanaga
ERA3.77
WHIP1.10
FIP4.35
K/99.0
K/BB7.1
Road ERA: 3.82
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Kodai Senga
Kodai Senga
ERA7.34
WHIP1.65
FIP5.64
K/911.0
K/BB5.0

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CHC โ€” Away
  1. 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
  2. 2 Alex Bregman 3B
  3. 3 Michael Busch 1B
  4. 4 Seiya Suzuki DH
  5. 5 Ian Happ LF
  6. 6 Matt Shaw RF
  7. 7 Nico Hoerner 2B
  8. 8 Carson Kelly C
  9. 9 Dansby Swanson SS
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette 3B
  3. 3 Juan Soto LF
  4. 4 Marcus Semien 2B
  5. 5 Mark Vientos 1B
  6. 6 Eric Wagaman DH
  7. 7 Francisco Alvarez C
  8. 8 A.J. Ewing CF
  9. 9 Zack Short SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CHC Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.766 0.678
Bullpen FIP 5.34 4.39
Run Diff / 10G +2.2 -1.2
Days Rest 1 0
Streak -2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CHC -1.5 (+125)
NYM +1.5 (-150)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.0 (-101)
Under 9.0 (-120)
Moneyline
CHC -131
NYM +108

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CHC โ€” Away
Michael Busch Michael Busch 1B
Singles
0.5
66 ยท OVER
Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 2B
Singles
0.5
65 ยท OVER
Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 3B
RBIs
0.5
63 ยท OVER
Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
Singles
0.5
61 ยท OVER
NYM โ€” Home
Carson Benge Carson Benge RF
Singles
0.5
70 ยท OVER
Juan Soto Juan Soto LF
Singles
0.5
67 ยท OVER
Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 3B
Singles
0.5
58 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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