โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYM vs
COL

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies

May 5, 2026 ยท 8:40 PM ET ยท Coors Field
NYM 74-88  ยท  COL 58-104

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 64%
Projected Score NYM 6 ยท COL 4
Blowout Probability 9%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

COL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.84 vs 5.04, PF 1.28) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL NYM SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away RHP
Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta
ERA4.42
WHIP1.32
FIP4.14
K/98.3
K/BB5.0
Road ERA: 4.32
vs
COL โ€” Home RHP
Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
ERA7.21
WHIP1.89
FIP5.31
K/96.4
K/BB2.5

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away COL Home
Bullpen FIP 4.39 5.45
Run Diff / 10G -0.5 -0.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM -1.5 (-105)
COL +1.5 (-115)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (-105)
Under 9.5 (-115)
Moneyline
NYM -168
COL +139

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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