โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
PHI

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

July 26, 2026 ยท 7:20 PM ET ยท Citizens Bank Park
NYY 84-62  ยท  PHI 82-65

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 4, PHI 11 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PHI 7 ยท NYY 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PHI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries PHI (Jesus Luzardo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries NYY (Trent Grisham, Jazz Chisholm Jr.) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 3.24 vs 5.18) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI NYY SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Defensive edge (dWAR 2.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Catcher arm edge (CS% 16pp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI K edge vs NYY lineup (10.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+0.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP home venue edge (ERA 2.32 H vs 3.73 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Will Warren
Will Warren
ERA4.05
WHIP1.36
FIP4.07
K/98.9
K/BB5.8
Road ERA: 4.59
vs
PHI โ€” Home LHP
Cristopher Sanchez
Cristopher Sanchez
ERA2.79
WHIP1.21
FIP2.64
K/910.1
K/BB8.1
Home ERA: 2.32

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Amed Rosario 3B
  4. 4 Jasson Dominguez RF
  5. 5 Anthony Volpe SS
  6. 6 Trent Grisham CF
  7. 7 Max Schuemann LF
  8. 8 Jose Caballero 2B
  9. 9 Ali Sanchez C
PHI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Brandon Marsh LF
  5. 5 Alec Bohm 3B
  6. 6 Bryson Stott 2B
  7. 7 J.T. Realmuto C
  8. 8 Gabriel Rincones Jr. RF
  9. 9 Justin Crawford CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away PHI Home
Team OPS 0.696 0.707
Bullpen FIP 3.96 4.18
Run Diff / 10G +0.4 -0.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 4 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY +3.5 (-183)
PHI -3.5 (+139)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (+100)
Under 11.5 (-130)
Moneyline
NYY +830
PHI -2300

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Ben Rice Ben Rice DH
Hits
70 ยท OVER
Paul Goldschmidt Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Hits
65 ยท OVER
Anthony Volpe Anthony Volpe SS
Hits
59 ยท OVER
Jasson Dominguez Jasson Dominguez RF
Hits
57 ยท OVER
PHI โ€” Home
Trea Turner Trea Turner SS
Hits
73 ยท OVER
Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 3B
Hits
70 ยท OVER
Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber DH
Hits
70 ยท OVER
Justin Crawford Justin Crawford CF
Hits
59 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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