โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

TOR vs
CHC

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs

June 21, 2026 ยท 2:20 PM ET ยท Wrigley Field
TOR 79-83  ยท  CHC 89-73

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Toronto Blue Jays
Confidence 51%
Projected Score TOR 4 ยท CHC 3
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CHC Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Key injuries TOR (Dylan Cease) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR SP quality edge (FIP 2.85 vs 5.59, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Defensive edge (dWAR 7.9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR K edge vs CHC lineup (12.7 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Recent run diff (+3.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR SP road mastery (ERA 2.12 R vs 2.93 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHC Line move (3pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TOR โ€” Away RHP
Dylan Cease
Dylan Cease
ERA2.40
WHIP1.10
FIP2.50
K/912.7
K/BB8.6
Road ERA: 2.12
vs
CHC โ€” Home LHP
Shota Imanaga
Shota Imanaga
ERA3.77
WHIP1.10
FIP4.35
K/99.0
K/BB7.1
Home ERA: 3.97

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TOR โ€” Away
  1. 1 George Springer DH
  2. 2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
  3. 3 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
  4. 4 Alejandro Kirk C
  5. 5 Daulton Varsho CF
  6. 6 Ernie Clement SS
  7. 7 Davis Schneider 2B
  8. 8 Jesus Sanchez LF
  9. 9 Myles Straw RF
CHC โ€” Home
  1. 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
  2. 2 Alex Bregman 3B
  3. 3 Michael Busch 1B
  4. 4 Seiya Suzuki DH
  5. 5 Ian Happ LF
  6. 6 Matt Shaw RF
  7. 7 Nico Hoerner 2B
  8. 8 Carson Kelly C
  9. 9 Dansby Swanson SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TOR Away CHC Home
Team OPS 0.690 0.766
Bullpen FIP 4.49 5.34
Run Diff / 10G -0.9 +2.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TOR -1.5 (+153)
CHC +1.5 (-186)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.0 (-120)
Under 7.0 (-101)
Moneyline
TOR -112
CHC -107

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

TOR โ€” Away
Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
75 ยท OVER
Myles Straw Myles Straw RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
75 ยท OVER
Ernie Clement Ernie Clement SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
63 ยท OVER
Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
54 ยท OVER
CHC โ€” Home
Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
77 ยท OVER
Michael Busch Michael Busch 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
76 ยท OVER
Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
Hits
0.5
73 ยท OVER
Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
72 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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