MLB Final Intelligence
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers โ Recap
September 13, 2026 ยท American Family Field ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The Cincinnati Reds orchestrated a narrow 4-3 upset victory over the Milwaukee Brewers, snatching a late lead in a game where they were significant underdogs. Overcoming an early two-run deficit, Cincinnati's offense delivered clutch hits in the middle and late innings to silence the heavily favored Brewers. This back-and-forth contest saw the Reds twice erase a Milwaukee lead, demonstrating resilience against a team projected to win handily.
Milwaukee established an early advantage in the bottom of the second inning when Ortiz launched a 408-foot home run to center field, scoring Yelich and putting the Brewers up 2-0. The score remained static until the top of the sixth, when the Reds found their offensive rhythm. Eugenio Suarez then blasted a 389-foot shot to right center, bringing home De La Cruz and Stewart, which propelled Cincinnati into a 3-2 lead. The Brewers quickly responded, however, as Bauers knotted the game at three apiece with a solo home run to right center in the bottom of the seventh.
The critical turning point arrived in the sixth inning when Suarez's three-run blast abruptly erased Milwaukee's lead, marking Cincinnati's largest scoring inning of the game. This power surge by the Reds transformed the game's momentum, countering a strong start from Milwaukee's Robert Gasser, who had limited Cincinnati to one earned run over five innings. Despite Gasser's effective outing and the Brewers being favored pregame by market odds and SportsFBI's model due to a perceived starting pitching edge, Suarez's decisive swing negated that advantage. Even after Bauers' solo shot re-tied the game for Milwaukee in the seventh, the Reds refused to be denied, showing their ability to respond to pressure.
Ultimately, the Cincinnati Reds prevailed on the strength of timely hitting and a persistent offense that answered every challenge posed by the Brewers. Their ability to deliver critical runs late in the game, particularly after falling behind early and then losing a lead, proved to be the difference. The Reds improved their record to 70-79, while the Brewers now stand at 93-57.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Milwaukee Brewers (-207, 65% implied) over the Cincinnati Reds. Final: the Cincinnati Reds won 4โ3, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Milwaukee Brewers (72% confidence). Final: the Cincinnati Reds won 4โ3, missing the call.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 6th inning, when the Cincinnati Reds scored 3 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Gasser |
|
5.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4.30 |
| Brandon Williamson W |
|
4.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5.62 |
| Chase Burns |
|
3.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2.80 |
| JoJo Romero |
|
1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.60 |
| Brock Burke |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.43 |
| Emilio Pagan S |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.72 |
| Abner Uribe L |
|
1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.15 |
| DL Hall |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.04 |
| Antonio Senzatela |
|
0.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4.30 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Sal Stewart |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Brice Turang |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Eugenio Suarez |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Joey Ortiz |
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jake Bauers |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Tyler Stephenson |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| JJ Bleday |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Juan Brito |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Christian Yelich |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Cooper Pratt |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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