โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

COL 54-86
3 โ€“ 2
FINAL
ARI 74-67

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks โ€” Recap

August 11, 2026  ยท Chase Field  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

The Colorado Rockies mounted a comeback victory on Tuesday, overcoming an early two-run deficit to defeat the favored Arizona Diamondbacks 3-2. The underdog Rockies silenced pregame projections, including the market's ~61% implied probability for Arizona and SportsFBI's 72% confidence, which cited key Diamondbacks injuries to Merrill Kelly and Geraldo Perdomo.

Arizona wasted no time getting on the scoreboard, with Carroll launching a 422-foot solo home run to right-center in the bottom of the first inning. Marte followed immediately with a 377-foot blast to the same part of the park, giving the Diamondbacks a quick 2-0 lead. Rockies starter Tomoyuki Sugano then settled in, holding the Diamondbacks offense scoreless through the next five frames.

The Rockies finally broke through in the sixth inning when Kyle Karros connected for a 413-foot two-run home run to left-center, scoring Tovar and knotting the game at two runs apiece. Building on that momentum, Colorado pushed across the go-ahead run in the top of the seventh. Goodman scored on a sacrifice fly to left field by Moniak, securing the 3-2 advantage. Sugano's strong outing, which included six innings pitched and only two earned runs allowed despite the early homers, was crucial in keeping the Rockies within striking distance.

Colorado's ability to withstand Arizona's initial power surge and then capitalize on timely hitting proved to be the difference in the contest. The resilient effort led to a hard-fought road victory. The Rockies now stand at 47-73, while the Diamondbacks fall to 64-57.

#MLB #Rockies #Diamondbacks #KyleKarros #TomoyukiSugano

How the Prediction Fared

โšก Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Arizona Diamondbacks (-175, 61% implied) over the Colorado Rockies. Final: the Colorado Rockies won 3โ€“2, pulling off the upset.

โšก Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Arizona Diamondbacks (72% confidence). Final: the Colorado Rockies won 3โ€“2, missing the call.

Player of the Game

Kyle Karros
At the Plate
3 AB, 1 H, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Tomoyuki Sugano
On the Mound
6.0 IP, 5 K, 2 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
COL 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 3 60
ARI 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 80

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Mitch Bratt 6.0 4 2 2 1 4 3.74
Tomoyuki Sugano W 6.0 6 2 2 0 5 4.43
Juan Morillo 1.0 1 0 0 1 0 2.42
Kevin Ginkel L 1.0 1 1 1 0 2 3.71
Taylor Clarke 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 2.15
Brennan Bernardino 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 2.59
Jimmy Herget 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 6.55
Jordan Romano S 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 6.27

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Ketel Marte 4 2 1 1 1 0 0
Nolan Arenado 4 2 0 0 0 0 0
Tim Tawa 4 2 0 0 0 0 2
Cole Carrigg 4 2 0 0 0 0 1
Kyle Karros 3 1 1 2 1 0 0
Corbin Carroll 4 1 1 1 1 0 0
Gabriel Moreno 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Ezequiel Tovar 3 1 0 0 1 0 0
Hunter Goodman 4 1 0 0 1 0 0
Jordan Beck 3 1 0 0 0 0 2

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