MLB Final Intelligence
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers — Recap
October 11, 2026 · American Family Field · View Preview
Game Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers secured a tight 2-1 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers, overcoming an early deficit with timely hitting and a standout pitching performance that held the high-powered Dodgers offense in check.
Los Angeles broke the scoreless tie in the second inning when Pages singled to right field, scoring Ohtani. Milwaukee responded in the bottom of the fourth inning, as Brice Turang launched a 384-foot solo home run to left center, evening the score. The Brewers then took the lead for good in the fifth, with Lara singling to center to drive in Mitchell.
The Brewers' ability to generate offense in the middle innings, particularly Turang's game-tying blast and Lara's go-ahead single, ultimately swung the outcome in their favor. This performance underscored the pregame analytical lean towards Milwaukee, which highlighted a significant starting pitching quality edge. Although Tarik Skubal for the Dodgers delivered a respectable outing, striking out seven over five innings, he surrendered both crucial runs that decided the contest.
Ultimately, Milwaukee's combination of clutch hitting in key moments and a pitching staff that stifled the Dodgers after the second inning proved to be the difference in this closely contested matchup. The victory moves the Milwaukee Brewers to 104-59, while the Los Angeles Dodgers now stand at 100-63.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Milwaukee Brewers (-113, 51% implied) over the Los Angeles Dodgers. Final: the Milwaukee Brewers won 2–1.
SportsFBI's model favored the Milwaukee Brewers (54% confidence). Final: the Milwaukee Brewers won 2–1.
Player of the Game
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal L |
|
5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2.45 |
| Jacob Misiorowski |
|
4.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3.24 |
| Aaron Ashby |
|
2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 |
| Alex Vesia |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.00 |
| Evan Phillips |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 |
| Tanner Scott |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4.91 |
| Abner Uribe |
|
1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 |
| Trevor Megill S |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 |
| DL Hall W |
|
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jackson Chourio |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brice Turang |
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Andy Pages |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Luis Lara |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Freddie Freeman |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Max Muncy |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Mookie Betts |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Shohei Ohtani |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Vaughn |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jake Bauers |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
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