MLB Final Intelligence
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers β Recap
October 15, 2026 Β· Dodger Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
Milwaukee, an underdog coming into the contest, rallied from an early four-run deficit to defeat the Los Angeles Dodgers. After falling behind 4-0 in the second inning, a lead that defied both the pregame market and SportsFBI's proprietary model, the Brewers steadily chipped away before taking control and adding late insurance.
The Dodgers seized an early advantage in the second inning, initiated by a Pages single that brought Tucker home. Shohei Ohtani then extended the lead dramatically with a 428-foot, three-run home run to right-center, making the score 4-0. Milwaukee began its comeback in the fourth when Bauers doubled home Contreras and Turang, cutting the deficit to two. The Brewers then pulled even in the fifth, first on Hamilton's single scoring Frelick, followed by Bauers drawing a walk to force home Hamilton and knot the game at four runs apiece.
The Brewers' persistent offense ultimately negated the Dodgers' four-run second inning, which had been the largest single scoring frame of the contest. Following the early outburst from Los Angeles, Milwaukee's pitching, notably Aaron Ashby, settled in, with Ashby contributing three scoreless innings while striking out three. The decisive blow came in the sixth inning when Mitchell launched a 409-foot solo home run to center, giving the Brewers their first lead of the game. Hamilton later added a 402-foot solo shot in the ninth to further secure the victory.
The Milwaukee Brewers' resilience in chipping away at an early deficit and their ability to shut down the Los Angeles offense after the second inning proved crucial in securing the road win. The underdog Brewers moved to 104-59, while the Dodgers fell to 100-63.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Los Angeles Dodgers (-169, 60% implied) over the Milwaukee Brewers. Final: the Milwaukee Brewers won 6β4, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Los Angeles Dodgers (70% confidence). Final: the Milwaukee Brewers won 6β4, missing the call.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 2nd inning, when the Los Angeles Dodgers scored 4 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Glasnow |
|
4.1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5.00 |
| Edwin Diaz |
|
3.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1.50 |
| Aaron Ashby S |
|
3.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 |
| Dustin May |
|
3.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6.43 |
| JoJo Romero W |
|
2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.69 |
| Tanner Scott L |
|
1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4.76 |
| Shane Drohan |
|
1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9.00 |
| Alex Vesia |
|
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Evan Phillips |
|
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hamilton |
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Andy Pages |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kyle Tucker |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Shohei Ohtani |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Garrett Mitchell |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Bauers |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Max Muncy |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Teoscar Hernandez |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Will Smith |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| William Contreras |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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