MLB Final Intelligence
New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves β Recap
July 6, 2026 Β· Truist Park Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The New York Mets, despite their 45-62 record and entering the game as significant underdogs against the 62-44 Atlanta Braves, orchestrated a stunning 7-6 extra-inning upset on Tuesday night. The game's early frames hinted at a competitive contest, as Benge put the Mets on the board with a solo home run to left center in the top of the second. However, Atlanta quickly responded in the bottom half, with Jarvis singling home Smith and Harris II driving in Yastrzemski to give the Braves a 2-1 lead.
Atlanta extended its advantage in the third inning when Matt Olson launched his first of two home runs on the night, a 403-foot shot to right, making it 3-1. Braves starter Reynaldo Lopez delivered a strong outing, allowing just one earned run over 5.0 innings while striking out five, effectively containing the Mets' offense through the middle innings. New York managed to chip away at the lead in the sixth, as Alvarez singled to right, scoring Benge and narrowing the deficit to a single run at 3-2.
The game remained a tight, low-scoring affair until the dramatic ninth inning, which proved to be the turning point. With two runners on, Soto crushed a 430-foot home run to right, bringing Taylor and Mauricio across the plate and vaulting the Mets into a sudden 5-3 lead. However, the Braves, led by Matt Olson's stellar performance (who finished with 2 HR, 3 RBI), refused to concede. Olson delivered a clutch two-run homer to left in the bottom of the ninth, his second blast of the game, tying the score at 5-5 and sending the game into extra innings.
In the top of the tenth, the Mets seized control once more. Torrens came through with a critical two-run double to left, scoring Bichette and Young and pushing New York ahead 7-5. Atlanta mounted a final charge in the bottom of the frame, as Harris II doubled to right to score AzΓ³car, narrowing the gap to 7-6. But the Mets bullpen held on, securing the improbable victory over the favored Braves, with Olson's outstanding offensive efforts ultimately not enough to prevent the upset.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Atlanta Braves (-126, 53% implied) over the New York Mets. Final: the New York Mets won 7β6, pulling off the upset.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 9th inning, when the New York Mets scored 3 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez |
|
5.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3.18 |
| Freddy Peralta |
|
4.2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4.68 |
| Cionel Perez |
|
1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5.50 |
| Didier Fuentes |
|
1.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.60 |
| Dylan Lee |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.56 |
| Raisel Iglesias |
|
1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2.37 |
| Tyler Kinley |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3.62 |
| A.J. Minter |
|
1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.56 |
| Luke Weaver S |
|
1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1.89 |
| Devin Williams |
|
0.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4.85 |
| Brooks Raley W |
|
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.23 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II |
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Matt Olson |
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Carson Benge |
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Francisco Alvarez |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drake Baldwin |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ozzie Albies |
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Bo Bichette |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Juan Soto |
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Luis Torrens |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dominic Smith |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Mauricio Dubon |
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mike Yastrzemski |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brett Baty |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jared Young |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ronny Mauricio |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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