MLB Final Intelligence
San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers β Recap
October 4, 2026 Β· American Family Field Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers secured a dramatic 4-3 victory over the San Diego Padres, walking off in the bottom of the ninth inning after erasing multiple deficits. Milwaukeeβs persistent offense culminated in a two-run rally in the final frame, clinching the win with a timely hit.
San Diego initially took the lead in the first inning when Ty France singled to center, scoring Machado. The Padres extended their advantage in the fifth, with Campusano scoring on a fielder's choice to make it 2-0. However, the Brewers quickly responded in the bottom of the fifth, as Frelick singled to left to drive in Yelich. France delivered another RBI single for San Diego in the seventh, pushing the lead back to 3-1, but Milwaukee once again cut the deficit to one run in the bottom of the seventh on a throwing error by second baseman Cronenworth.
The pivotal swing came in the ninth inning, with the Brewers facing a one-run deficit. After loading the bases, Jackson Chourio delivered a decisive single to center field, driving home both Sal Frelick and Christian Yelich to complete the walk-off rally. This two-run outburst marked Milwaukee's most productive offensive frame and secured the hard-fought victory. SportsFBI's pregame model, which favored the Brewers due in part to their starting pitcher's home venue edge, correctly predicted the outcome.
Ultimately, the Brewers' ability to repeatedly answer the Padres' scoring and deliver a clutch hit in the game's final moments proved the difference. Their persistent offense ensured they capitalized on playing at home, securing a resilient win. Following this result, Milwaukee stands at 104-59, while San Diego's record moves to 91-72.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Milwaukee Brewers (-230, 67% implied) over the San Diego Padres. Final: the Milwaukee Brewers won 4β3.
SportsFBI's model favored the Milwaukee Brewers (68% confidence). Final: the Milwaukee Brewers won 4β3.
Player of the Game
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Henderson |
|
5.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1.80 |
| Michael King |
|
5.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.75 |
| Mason Miller L |
|
1.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6.75 |
| Abner Uribe |
|
1.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Yuki Matsui |
|
1.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Aaron Ashby |
|
1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 |
| Trevor Megill W |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| JoJo Romero |
|
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.00 |
| Bradgley Rodriguez |
|
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty France |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jackson Chourio |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sal Frelick |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Christian Yelich |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Cooper Pratt |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Garrett Mitchell |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Jackson Merrill |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Luis Campusano |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Samad Taylor |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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