MLB Final Intelligence

SD 91-71
3 – 4
FINAL
MIL 103-59

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers β€” Recap

October 4, 2026  Β· American Family Field  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers secured a dramatic 4-3 victory over the San Diego Padres, walking off in the bottom of the ninth inning after erasing multiple deficits. Milwaukee’s persistent offense culminated in a two-run rally in the final frame, clinching the win with a timely hit.

San Diego initially took the lead in the first inning when Ty France singled to center, scoring Machado. The Padres extended their advantage in the fifth, with Campusano scoring on a fielder's choice to make it 2-0. However, the Brewers quickly responded in the bottom of the fifth, as Frelick singled to left to drive in Yelich. France delivered another RBI single for San Diego in the seventh, pushing the lead back to 3-1, but Milwaukee once again cut the deficit to one run in the bottom of the seventh on a throwing error by second baseman Cronenworth.

The pivotal swing came in the ninth inning, with the Brewers facing a one-run deficit. After loading the bases, Jackson Chourio delivered a decisive single to center field, driving home both Sal Frelick and Christian Yelich to complete the walk-off rally. This two-run outburst marked Milwaukee's most productive offensive frame and secured the hard-fought victory. SportsFBI's pregame model, which favored the Brewers due in part to their starting pitcher's home venue edge, correctly predicted the outcome.

Ultimately, the Brewers' ability to repeatedly answer the Padres' scoring and deliver a clutch hit in the game's final moments proved the difference. Their persistent offense ensured they capitalized on playing at home, securing a resilient win. Following this result, Milwaukee stands at 104-59, while San Diego's record moves to 91-72.

#MLB #MilwaukeeBrewers #SanDiegoPadres #JacksonChourio

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Favorite Won

Pregame, the market favored the Milwaukee Brewers (-230, 67% implied) over the San Diego Padres. Final: the Milwaukee Brewers won 4–3.

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Milwaukee Brewers (68% confidence). Final: the Milwaukee Brewers won 4–3.

Player of the Game

Ty France
At the Plate
3 AB, 2 H, 2 RBI
Michael King
On the Mound
5.0 IP, 6 K, 1 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
SD 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 3 52
MIL 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 4 53

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Logan Henderson 5.0 2 2 1 3 4 1.80
Michael King 5.0 3 1 1 0 6 0.75
Mason Miller L 1.2 1 2 2 3 2 6.75
Abner Uribe 1.1 1 1 0 1 0 0.00
Yuki Matsui 1.1 1 1 0 1 0 0.00
Aaron Ashby 1.0 2 0 0 0 1 0.00
Trevor Megill W 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
JoJo Romero 0.2 0 0 0 1 2 0.00
Bradgley Rodriguez 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Ty France 3 2 0 2 0 0 1
Jackson Chourio 4 1 0 2 0 0 0
Sal Frelick 2 1 0 1 1 2 0
Christian Yelich 3 1 0 0 2 1 1
Cooper Pratt 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Garrett Mitchell 4 1 0 0 1 0 2
Jackson Merrill 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Luis Campusano 2 1 0 0 1 1 0
Samad Taylor 1 1 0 0 0 0 0

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