MLB Final Intelligence
Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox β Recap
August 31, 2026 Β· Fenway Park Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Boston Red Sox mounted a late-inning rally to secure a 9-8 walk-off victory over the Seattle Mariners in a seesaw affair Tuesday night. After trailing by three runs in the seventh inning, Boston chipped away at Seattleβs lead before delivering the decisive blow in extra innings.
The game was marked by frequent lead changes from the start. Seattle struck first in the opening frame when RodrΓguez doubled, scoring Randy Arozarena. Boston quickly responded, as Gasper connected for a solo home run, and in the second inning, Duran's two-run blast put the Red Sox ahead 3-1. Arozarena then launched a solo shot in the third and later singled in a run in the fifth to draw the Mariners even. Rafaela's two-run single put Boston back in front, 5-3, in the bottom of the fifth, only for Seattle to explode in the top of the sixth.
The Marinersβ four-run sixth inning, their largest scoring frame of the night, appeared to turn the tide in their favor. Arozarena continued his exceptional performance with a two-run single, and Canzone followed with a two-run double, giving Seattle a 7-5 advantage. Raleigh extended that lead further with a solo home run in the seventh. However, Boston's lineup refused to yield. Storyβs two-run double in the eighth inning cut the deficit to one, and Rafaela then tied the game in the ninth with a sacrifice fly, setting the stage for extra innings.
Despite a remarkable offensive night from Arozarena, who collected four hits, including a home run, and drove in four for Seattle, it was Boston's ability to capitalize on late-game opportunities that ultimately clinched the win. Story's game-winning single in the tenth inning completed the Red Sox's comeback, rewarding their persistent effort. The Red Sox improved to 75-63 on the season, while the Mariners fell to 64-74.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Boston Red Sox (-163, 59% implied) over the Seattle Mariners. Final: the Boston Red Sox won 9β8.
SportsFBI's model favored the Boston Red Sox (72% confidence). Final: the Boston Red Sox won 9β8.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 6th inning, when the Seattle Mariners scored 4 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Tolle |
|
5.2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3.23 |
| George Kirby |
|
5.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4.19 |
| Alec Gamboa |
|
2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.13 |
| Andres Munoz |
|
1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4.35 |
| Gabe Speier |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.58 |
| Aroldis Chapman W |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.77 |
| Erik Miller |
|
1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2.25 |
| Seranthony Dominguez |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.44 |
| Tyron Guerrero |
|
0.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3.26 |
| Cooper Criswell L |
|
0.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3.48 |
| Eduard Bazardo |
|
0.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3.25 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena |
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Trevor Story |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dominic Canzone |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nick Sogard |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Roman Anthony |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jarren Duran |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mickey Gasper |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Cal Raleigh |
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Julio Rodriguez |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Caleb Durbin |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Connor Wong |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| J.P. Crawford |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Taylor Ward |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Weston Wilson |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
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