MLB Final Intelligence
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds — Recap
August 20, 2026 · Great American Ball Park · View Preview
Game Recap
The St. Louis Cardinals staged a remarkable comeback, overcoming a mid-game deficit with a six-run ninth inning before narrowly holding off a furious Cincinnati Reds rally to secure a 10-9 victory.
St. Louis initially built an early advantage, with Walker driving in the game's first run in the opening frame. He then extended the lead significantly in the third inning, launching a two-run homer to center field that scored Wetherholt and Herrera, putting the Cardinals ahead 4-0. Cincinnati began to chip away in the sixth when Bleday singled in a run, and Matt McLain followed with a grand slam to left field, dramatically propelling the Reds into a 5-4 lead.
The Cardinals’ offensive resilience, a factor highlighted by SportsFBI’s pregame model citing their strong recent run differential, fully materialized in the decisive ninth inning. With two runners already on base, an error by center fielder Myers allowed Fermín and Winn to score, pushing St. Louis back into a 6-5 lead. The team continued its surge, adding four more runs on a Burleson single, a Báez walk that forced in a run, and a two-run single by Fermín, pushing their advantage to 10-5. However, the Reds mounted a valiant effort in the bottom of the frame, scoring four runs themselves, capped by a bases-loaded walk to Stephenson that brought them within a single run before the final out was recorded.
Ultimately, the Cardinals' late-game offensive explosion proved insurmountable, as their ability to generate a massive inning after trailing was the defining characteristic of their hard-fought win. St. Louis now stands at 66-63, while Cincinnati's record fell to 61-67.
How the Prediction Fared
SportsFBI's model favored the St. Louis Cardinals (55% confidence). Final: the St. Louis Cardinals won 10–9.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 9th inning, when the St. Louis Cardinals scored 6 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer |
|
6.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4.72 |
| Michael McGreevy |
|
5.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3.54 |
| Peter Strzelecki W |
|
2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3.29 |
| Julian Garcia |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.93 |
| Tejay Antone |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3.51 |
| Brock Burke L |
|
0.2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2.73 |
| George Soriano |
|
0.2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4.18 |
| Ryne Stanek |
|
0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4.68 |
| Zach Maxwell |
|
0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8.31 |
| Riley O'Brien S |
|
0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.94 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Fermin |
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt McLain |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan Walker |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sal Stewart |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Eugenio Suarez |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| JJ Bleday |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Alec Burleson |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Elly De La Cruz |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Hector Rodriguez |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Torres |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ivan Herrera |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| JJ Wetherholt |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Church |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
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