NBA Matchup Intelligence

Hornets vs Suns

November 12, 2026 Β· 9:00 PM ET
CHA 0-0  Β·  PHX 0-0

πŸ“Matchup Preview

Charlotte Hornets visit Phoenix Suns for a regular-season matchup.

Phoenix Suns's availability report lists Mark Williams (Out). These designations describe availability, not a confirmed starting five.

Adjusted team strength shifts the assessment toward Charlotte Hornets. The team-strength comparison weighs possession efficiency, opponent quality and recent performance, with early-season estimates pulled toward the available prior-season baseline.

SportsFBI gives Charlotte Hornets a 56% estimated win probability. That is a modest lean, leaving substantial room for the other result. This estimate is based on team and situational inputs, rather than a two-sided sportsbook moneyline.

Projected score: CHA 114, PHX 112
Model probability of a margin of 20 or more points: 11%

πŸ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner πŸ† Charlotte Hornets
Confidence 56%
Projected Score CHA 114 Β· PHX 112
Blowout Probability 11%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's NBA matchup engine β€” not a guarantee. Blowout means a 20+ point margin.

βš–οΈ Game Edges

Key factors driving this matchup

CHAA Offensive matchup +2.4 Weak

PHX expected offense vs opposing defense 112.03; CHA 114.08 points per 100 possessions.

CHAA Adjusted team strength +2.0 Moderate

PHX adjusted net 0.07 vs CHA 2.12 per 100 possessions. Expected possessions: 99.63.

PHXH Defensive matchup +0.37 Weak

PHX adjusted defense 112.39; CHA 112.76 points allowed per 100 possessions.

PHXH Free throws +0.05 Weak

FTA/FGA 0.24 / 0.25 vs opponent FTA/FGA allowed 0.25 / 0.28.

CHAA Rebounding +0.04 Weak

ORB% 27.94 / 28.65 vs opposing DRB% 75.55 / 71.91.

PHXH Turnovers +0.01 Weak

TOV% 13.74 / 14.08 vs opponent forced TOV% 12.69 / 15.12.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges β€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.