Stephen Curry Stephen Curry
Ty Jerome Ty Jerome
GSW 8:00 PM ET MEM

NBA Β· MATCHUP INTELLIGENCE

December 14, 2026 Β· 8:00 PM ET

Warriors vs Grizzlies

GSW 0-0 Β· MEM 0-0

β€Ή β€Ί

πŸ“Matchup Preview

Golden State Warriors visit Memphis Grizzlies for a regular-season matchup.

Golden State Warriors's availability report lists Jimmy Butler (Out), Kristaps Porzingis (Out), Moses Moody (Out). These designations describe availability, not a confirmed starting five.

Memphis Grizzlies's availability report lists Isaiah Stewart (Out). These designations describe availability, not a confirmed starting five.

Adjusted team strength shifts the assessment toward Golden State Warriors. The team-strength comparison weighs possession efficiency, opponent quality and recent performance, with early-season estimates pulled toward the available prior-season baseline.

SportsFBI gives Golden State Warriors a 57% estimated win probability. That is a modest lean, leaving substantial room for the other result. This estimate is based on team and situational inputs, rather than a two-sided sportsbook moneyline.

Projected score: GSW 116, MEM 114
Model probability of a margin of 20 or more points: 12%

πŸ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner πŸ† Golden State Warriors
Confidence 57%
Projected Score GSW 116 Β· MEM 114
Blowout Probability 12%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's NBA matchup engine β€” not a guarantee. Blowout means a 20+ point margin.

βš–οΈ Game Edges

Key factors driving this matchup

GSWA Adjusted team strength +2.3 Moderate

MEM adjusted net -2.17 vs GSW 0.06 per 100 possessions. Expected possessions: 101.91.

GSWA Offensive matchup +1.6 Weak

MEM expected offense vs opposing defense 111.90; GSW 114.13 points per 100 possessions.

GSWA Defensive matchup +0.67 Weak

MEM adjusted defense 113.96; GSW 113.30 points allowed per 100 possessions.

GSWA Free throws +0.01 Weak

FTA/FGA 0.26 / 0.24 vs opponent FTA/FGA allowed 0.25 / 0.26.

Position Comparison

Projected starters and available averages

● GSW ● MEM ● Even
Stephen Curry
Stephen Curry
21.8PTS
3.5REB
4.0AST
PG* +9.3 PPG diff.
Javon Small
Javon Small
12.4PTS
2.6REB
3.0AST
Brandin Podziemski
Brandin Podziemski
20.0PTS
6.0REB
1.3AST
SG* +4.8 PPG diff.
Cedric Coward
Cedric Coward
15.2PTS
3.0REB
1.4AST
Draymond Green
Draymond Green
4.8PTS
3.9REB
6.5AST
SF* -11.1 PPG diff.
GG Jackson
GG Jackson
15.9PTS
3.5REB
2.1AST
Gui Santos
Gui Santos
10.8PTS
5.8REB
4.3AST
PF* +1.0 PPG diff.
Taylor Hendricks
Taylor Hendricks
9.8PTS
3.5REB
0.5AST
Yaxel Lendeborg
β€”PTS
β€”REB
β€”AST
C* β€” PPG diff.
Cameron Boozer
β€”PTS
β€”REB
β€”AST

* Inferred comparison slot; not a confirmed position assignment.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges β€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.