NBA Matchup Intelligence

Pacers vs Suns

December 23, 2026 Β· 9:00 PM ET
IND 0-0  Β·  PHX 0-0

πŸ“Matchup Preview

Indiana Pacers visit Phoenix Suns for a regular-season matchup.

Indiana Pacers's availability report lists Johnny Furphy (Out). These designations describe availability, not a confirmed starting five.

Phoenix Suns's availability report lists Mark Williams (Out). These designations describe availability, not a confirmed starting five.

Adjusted team strength shifts the assessment toward Phoenix Suns. The team-strength comparison weighs possession efficiency, opponent quality and recent performance, with early-season estimates pulled toward the available prior-season baseline.

SportsFBI gives Phoenix Suns a 67% estimated win probability. This estimate is based on team and situational inputs, rather than a two-sided sportsbook moneyline.

Projected score: IND 111, PHX 117
Model probability of a margin of 20 or more points: 15%

πŸ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner πŸ† Phoenix Suns
Confidence 67%
Projected Score PHX 117 Β· IND 111
Blowout Probability 15%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's NBA matchup engine β€” not a guarantee. Blowout means a 20+ point margin.

βš–οΈ Game Edges

Key factors driving this matchup

PHXH Adjusted team strength +5.6 Very Strong

PHX adjusted net 0.07 vs IND -5.48 per 100 possessions. Expected possessions: 100.90.

PHXH Defensive matchup +4.3 Moderate

PHX adjusted defense 112.39; IND 116.63 points allowed per 100 possessions.

PHXH Offensive matchup +1.3 Weak

PHX expected offense vs opposing defense 115.90; IND 110.35 points per 100 possessions.

PHXH Rebounding +0.05 Weak

ORB% 27.94 / 21.17 vs opposing DRB% 73.89 / 71.91.

PHXH Turnovers +0.01 Weak

TOV% 13.74 / 13.71 vs opponent forced TOV% 12.32 / 15.12.

PHXH Free throws +0.01 Weak

FTA/FGA 0.24 / 0.25 vs opponent FTA/FGA allowed 0.27 / 0.28.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges β€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.