NBA Matchup Intelligence

Knicks vs Suns

December 31, 2026 Β· 9:00 PM ET
NYK 0-0  Β·  PHX 0-0

πŸ“Matchup Preview

New York Knicks visit Phoenix Suns for a regular-season matchup.

Phoenix Suns's availability report lists Mark Williams (Out). These designations describe availability, not a confirmed starting five.

Adjusted team strength shifts the assessment toward New York Knicks. The team-strength comparison weighs possession efficiency, opponent quality and recent performance, with early-season estimates pulled toward the available prior-season baseline. Star availability shifts the assessment toward Phoenix Suns. The availability adjustment estimates the additional impact of expected missed minutes beyond the absences already reflected in the team baseline.

SportsFBI gives New York Knicks a 66% estimated win probability. This estimate is based on team and situational inputs, rather than a two-sided sportsbook moneyline.

Projected score: NYK 114, PHX 109
Model probability of a margin of 20 or more points: 14%

πŸ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner πŸ† New York Knicks
Confidence 66%
Projected Score NYK 114 Β· PHX 109
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's NBA matchup engine β€” not a guarantee. Blowout means a 20+ point margin.

βš–οΈ Game Edges

Key factors driving this matchup

NYKA Adjusted team strength +7.2 Very Strong

PHX adjusted net 0.07 vs NYK 7.31 per 100 possessions. Expected possessions: 99.10.

NYKA Offensive matchup +4.7 Moderate

PHX expected offense vs opposing defense 109.11; NYK 116.35 points per 100 possessions.

NYKA Defensive matchup +2.5 Weak

PHX adjusted defense 112.39; NYK 109.84 points allowed per 100 possessions.

PHXH Star availability +2.2 Moderate

Josh Hart (Day-To-Day): 9.4 expected minutes lost; impact rating 9.86 per 100 possessions; Luke Kennard (Day-To-Day): 0.0 expected minutes lost; impact rating 0.96 per 100 possessions; Mark Williams (Out): 5.9 expected minutes lost; impact rating -1.83 per 100 possessions; Oso Ighodaro (Day-To-Day): 1.8 expected minutes lost; impact rating -0.80 per 100 possessions

NYKA Rebounding +0.05 Weak

ORB% 27.94 / 28.53 vs opposing DRB% 76.84 / 71.91.

NYKA Turnovers +0.01 Weak

TOV% 13.74 / 12.79 vs opponent forced TOV% 13.92 / 15.12.

PHXH Free throws +0.01 Weak

FTA/FGA 0.24 / 0.25 vs opponent FTA/FGA allowed 0.27 / 0.28.

See the Full Analysis

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