Suns vs Grizzlies

📝Matchup Preview

Phoenix Suns visit Memphis Grizzlies for a regular-season matchup.

Phoenix Suns's availability report lists Mark Williams (Out). These designations describe availability, not a confirmed starting five.

Memphis Grizzlies's availability report lists Isaiah Stewart (Out). These designations describe availability, not a confirmed starting five.

Adjusted team strength shifts the assessment toward Phoenix Suns. The team-strength comparison weighs possession efficiency, opponent quality and recent performance, with early-season estimates pulled toward the available prior-season baseline.

SportsFBI gives Phoenix Suns a 58% estimated win probability. That is a modest lean, leaving substantial room for the other result. This estimate is based on team and situational inputs, rather than a two-sided sportsbook moneyline.

Projected score: PHX 114, MEM 112

Model probability of a margin of 20 or more points: 12%

🏆 SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner 🏆 Phoenix Suns

Confidence 58%

Projected Score PHX 114 · MEM 112

Blowout Probability 12%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's NBA matchup engine — not a guarantee. Blowout means a 20+ point margin.

⚖️ Game Edges

Key factors driving this matchup

PHXA Adjusted team strength +2.3 Moderate

MEM adjusted net -2.17 vs PHX 0.07 per 100 possessions. Expected possessions: 100.88.

PHXA Defensive matchup +1.6 Weak

MEM adjusted defense 113.96; PHX 112.39 points allowed per 100 possessions.

PHXA Offensive matchup +0.66 Weak

MEM expected offense vs opposing defense 110.99; PHX 113.22 points per 100 possessions.

PHXA Star availability +0.26 Weak

Jerami Grant (Day-To-Day): 0.0 expected minutes lost; impact rating -3.46 per 100 possessions; Isaiah Stewart (Out): 0.0 expected minutes lost; impact rating -2.39 per 100 possessions; GG Jackson (Day-To-Day): 0.0 expected minutes lost; impact rating -0.71 per 100 possessions; Micah Peavy (Day-To-Day): 0.0 expected minutes lost; impact rating 1.25 per 100 possessions; Luke Kennard (Day-To-Day): 0.0 expected minutes lost; impact rating 0.96 per 100 possessions; Mark Williams (Out): 5.9 expected minutes lost; impact rating -1.83 per 100 possessions; Oso Ighodaro (Day-To-Day): 1.8 expected minutes lost; impact rating -0.80 per 100 possessions