Victor Wembanyama Victor Wembanyama
Lauri Markkanen Lauri Markkanen
SAS 5:00 PM ET UTA

NBA Β· MATCHUP INTELLIGENCE

November 15, 2026 Β· 5:00 PM ET

Spurs vs Jazz

SAS 0-0 Β· UTA 0-0

β€Ή β€Ί

πŸ“Matchup Preview

San Antonio Spurs visit Utah Jazz for a regular-season matchup.

San Antonio Spurs's availability report lists Jayden Quaintance (Out), Tobias Harris (Out). These designations describe availability, not a confirmed starting five.

Utah Jazz's availability report lists Jusuf Nurkic (Out). These designations describe availability, not a confirmed starting five.

Adjusted team strength shifts the assessment toward San Antonio Spurs. The team-strength comparison weighs possession efficiency, opponent quality and recent performance, with early-season estimates pulled toward the available prior-season baseline.

SportsFBI gives San Antonio Spurs a 88% estimated win probability. This estimate is based on team and situational inputs, rather than a two-sided sportsbook moneyline.

Projected score: SAS 124, UTA 109
Model probability of a margin of 20 or more points: 34%

πŸ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner πŸ† San Antonio Spurs
Confidence 88%
Projected Score SAS 124 Β· UTA 109
Blowout Probability 34%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's NBA matchup engine β€” not a guarantee. Blowout means a 20+ point margin.

βš–οΈ Game Edges

Key factors driving this matchup

SASA Adjusted team strength +14.6 Very Strong

UTA adjusted net -6.42 vs SAS 7.86 per 100 possessions. Expected possessions: 102.04.

SASA Defensive matchup +10.4 Very Strong

UTA adjusted defense 118.45; SAS 108.30 points allowed per 100 possessions.

SASA Offensive matchup +4.2 Moderate

UTA expected offense vs opposing defense 107.14; SAS 121.42 points per 100 possessions.

SASA Free throws +0.04 Weak

FTA/FGA 0.27 / 0.28 vs opponent FTA/FGA allowed 0.24 / 0.29.

UTAH Turnovers +0.01 Weak

TOV% 14.02 / 12.75 vs opponent forced TOV% 12.28 / 13.20.

Position Comparison

Projected starters and available averages

● SAS ● UTA ● Even
De'Aaron Fox
10.8PTS
3.6REB
6.0AST
PG* -7.7 PPG diff.
Airious Bailey
18.5PTS
5.8REB
1.5AST
Devin Vassell
Devin Vassell
10.4PTS
6.1REB
3.5AST
SG* β€” PPG diff.
Darryn Peterson
β€”PTS
β€”REB
β€”AST
Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama
25.9PTS
9.3REB
1.9AST
SF* +9.4 PPG diff.
Kyle Filipowski
Kyle Filipowski
16.5PTS
9.2REB
3.9AST
Julian Champagnie
Julian Champagnie
14.4PTS
6.9REB
1.2AST
PF* -7.2 PPG diff.
Brice Sensabaugh
Brice Sensabaugh
21.6PTS
3.1REB
3.9AST
Stephon Castle
Stephon Castle
17.2PTS
5.6REB
5.5AST
C* -5.4 PPG diff.
Lauri Markkanen
Lauri Markkanen
22.6PTS
5.9REB
1.6AST

* Inferred comparison slot; not a confirmed position assignment.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges β€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.