NBA Final Intelligence

120 – 105

FINAL

Atlanta Hawks 120, Washington Wizards 105 — Recap

November 4, 2026 · Recap published November 4, 2026 · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Atlanta Hawks defeated the Washington Wizards 120-105, validating SportsFBI's model that gave Atlanta a 75% pregame lean. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led the charge for the Hawks by scoring 26 points, grabbing 3 rebounds, dishing 2 assists, and sinking 6 three-pointers on 9-of-20 shooting. CJ McCollum added 15 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists with 2 three-pointers on 5-of-14 shooting to sustain the offensive output.

Atlanta immediately set the tone in the opening period, outscoring Washington 37-32. The Hawks extended their advantage slightly before halftime by taking the second quarter 31-29, building a comfortable cushion heading into the locker room.

Washington tried to mount a response behind strong individual performances, paced by Anthony Davis with 26 points, 10 rebounds, and 3 assists on 12-of-19 shooting. KyShawn George contributed 25 points, 4 rebounds, and 7 assists with 3 three-pointers on 10-of-14 shooting, while Trae Young chipped in 18 points, 2 rebounds, and 6 assists with 2 three-pointers on 6-of-12 shooting.

Despite the efforts from Washington's top scorers, Atlanta maintained control after the break. The Hawks edged the third quarter 25-24 and closed out the game by winning the fourth quarter 27-20 to secure the 15-point victory.

#AtlantaHawks #WashingtonWizards #NBA

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Atlanta Hawks (75% confidence). It gave a 19% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 15 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · ATL -2.5 ATL covered Won by 15

Total · 230.5 Under 225 combined

Moneyline ATL -136 · WAS +116 ATL favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (WAS) +1.5+2.5 +1

Total 233.5230.5 -3

Moneyline (WAS) +108+116 +8

Standouts

Top Scorer · WAS

Anthony Davis

26 PTS, 10 REB, 3 AST · 12-19 FG

Scoring · ATL

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

26 PTS, 3 REB, 2 AST, 6 3PM · 9-20 FG

Scoring · WAS

KyShawn George

25 PTS, 4 REB, 7 AST, 3 3PM · 10-14 FG

Season highs

KyShawn George · Season-high 25 pointsDyson Daniels · Season-high 17 reboundsOnyeka Okongwu · Season-high 16 reboundsDyson Daniels · Season-high 8 assists

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

ATL 16 largest lead Q2 9:06 (ATL 48, WAS 32) · 13-0 run, Q1 0:00–Q2 9:06

WAS 5 largest lead Q1 9:38 (ATL 3, WAS 8) · 11-0 run, Q2 1:52–Q3 11:05

Swings 8 lead changes Tied 4 times

Ahead for good: CJ McCollum makes 25-foot running jump shot (Dyson Daniels assists) (Q1 2:34, ATL 27, WAS 25).

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
ATL	37	31	25	27		120
WAS	32	29	24	20		105

🧮 How They Scored

ATLWAS

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

54.0%Effective FG%51.1%

12.3%Turnover %11.0%

37.3%Offensive rebound %19.1%

0.139Free-throw rate0.239

Box Score

Atlanta Hawks

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Dyson Daniels G	34	8	17	8	0	0	2	4-13	0-4	0-0	+21
Nickeil Alexander-Walker G	32	26	3	2	0	0	3	9-20	6-14	2-2	-3
Onyeka Okongwu F-C	31	14	16	4	2	1	3	5-9	2-5	2-2	-3
Luguentz Dort G	31	6	3	3	1	0	0	2-10	2-6	0-0	0
Aaron Wiggins G	29	15	4	2	2	1	2	6-14	3-7	0-0	+15
CJ McCollum G	25	15	5	5	2	0	1	5-14	2-7	3-4	+13
Kingston Flemings G	23	14	3	4	0	0	2	6-9	2-2	0-0	-1
Zuby Ejiofor F	17	11	3	2	2	0	1	4-6	1-2	2-4	+18
Asa Newell F	10	2	3	3	0	0	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	+9
Corey Kispert F	8	9	0	1	0	0	0	3-5	1-2	2-2	+6

Washington Wizards

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
KyShawn George F	35	25	4	7	0	0	4	10-14	3-7	2-3	-9
Trae Young G	34	18	2	6	2	1	4	6-12	2-6	4-4	-19
AJ Dybantsa F	32	9	6	3	0	0	0	4-12	0-1	1-4	+6
Anthony Davis F-C	30	26	10	3	0	3	0	12-19	0-1	2-2	+3
Bilal Coulibaly G	23	6	2	2	2	1	1	3-5	0-1	0-0	-25
Alexandre Sarr C	23	11	9	1	2	1	1	3-6	0-2	5-6	-5
Carlton Carrington G	19	0	1	2	1	0	0	0-4	0-2	0-0	-13
Tre Johnson G	14	3	2	0	0	0	1	1-9	1-4	0-0	-5
Will Riley F	13	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-3	0-2	0-0	0
Deandre Ayton C	11	5	4	1	0	2	1	2-2	0-0	1-2	-8
Tre Mann G	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	1-1	0-0	0-0	0
Felix Okpara C	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	0

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
Anthony Davis WAS	Points	23.5	26	Over
	Rebounds	10.5	10	Under
	Assists	2.5	3	Over
	3-pointers	0.5	0	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	36.5	39	Over
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL	Points	22.5	26	Over
	Rebounds	3.5	3	Under
	Assists	3.5	2	Under
KyShawn George WAS	Points	14.5	25	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	4	Under
	Assists	3.5	7	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	3	Over
	Pts + Reb	18.5	29	Over
	Reb + Ast	8.5	11	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	23.5	36	Over
Trae Young WAS	Points	19.5	18	Under
	Rebounds	2.5	2	Under
	Assists	10.5	6	Under
	3-pointers	2.5	2	Under
	Pts + Reb	22.5	20	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	32.5	26	Under
CJ McCollum ATL	Points	17.5	15	Under
	Rebounds	2.5	5	Over
	Assists	4.5	5	Over
	3-pointers	2.5	2	Under
	Pts + Reb	20.5	20	Under
	Reb + Ast	7.5	10	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	25.5	25	Under
Aaron Wiggins ATL	Points	13.5	15	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	4	Under
	Assists	2.5	2	Under
	3-pointers	2.5	3	Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series ATL 1 – 0 WAS

Last 24 meetings · since 2020-21 ATL 18 – 6 WAS

Previous meetingsOpen the recap

After this game

Atlanta Hawks 5-4 W2 L10 5-4 Next game: vs WAS · Fri, Nov 6

Washington Wizards 4-4 L1 L10 4-4 Next game: @ ATL · Fri, Nov 6

🔍 Key Suspects Results

4 of 5 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

ATL — Away

Luguentz Dort G Rebounds 3.5 UNDER HIT Actual 3

Aaron Wiggins G Assists 2 HIT Actual 2

WAS — Home

Tre Johnson G Threes 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1

Bilal Coulibaly G Points 7.5 UNDER HIT Actual 6

AJ Dybantsa F Assists 2.5 UNDER MISS Actual 3

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