NBA Final Intelligence

DAL 1-2
113 – 109
FINAL
MIA 0-3

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat β€” Recap

October 26, 2026  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Dallas Mavericks secured a hard-fought 113-109 victory over the Miami Heat, overcoming a robust triple-double performance from Giannis Antetokounmpo. The contest remained tightly balanced throughout, decided only in the final frame as Dallas leveraged key offensive contributions from Cooper Flagg and P.J. Washington to pull ahead.

Miami established an early advantage, outscoring Dallas 27-23 in the first quarter. Giannis Antetokounmpo provided an all-around impact, complemented by Davion Mitchell's efficient 21 points on 9-of-15 shooting, which included two three-pointers. The Mavericks responded effectively in the second quarter, posting a 30-25 run to take a narrow 53-52 lead into halftime. Cooper Flagg provided much of Dallas' offensive spark during this period, with Kyrie Irving also contributing scoring and playmaking.

The Heat briefly recaptured momentum in the third quarter, edging Dallas 32-30 to hold an 84-83 lead entering the fourth. Antetokounmpo continued to drive Miami's offense, ultimately finishing with 29 points, 15 rebounds, and 11 assists, along with two three-pointers on 12-of-23 shooting. However, the Mavericks mounted a decisive final charge, outscoring Miami 30-25 in the last quarter. Flagg matched Antetokounmpo's scoring output with 29 points, adding 6 rebounds and 11 assists, also hitting two threes on 12-of-23 shooting. P.J. Washington was instrumental for Dallas down the stretch, contributing 20 points and 9 rebounds, including four crucial three-pointers on 6-of-15 shooting. Kyrie Irving added 18 points, 6 rebounds, and 6 assists. SportsFBI's pregame model had leaned towards a Miami victory at 63%, a projection that ultimately did not materialize.

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How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Miami Heat (63% confidence). It gave a 13% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 4 points.

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· MIA
Giannis Antetokounmpo
29 PTS, 15 REB, 11 AST, 2 3PM Β· 12-23 FG
Scoring Β· DAL
Cooper Flagg
29 PTS, 6 REB, 11 AST, 2 3PM Β· 12-23 FG
Scoring Β· MIA
Davion Mitchell
21 PTS, 0 REB, 2 AST, 2 3PM Β· 9-15 FG

Full box score, every player's line and the play-by-play are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234 T
DAL 23303030 113
MIA 27253225 109

πŸ” Key Suspects Results

4 of 8 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

DAL — Away
Max Christie G Threes 2 HIT Actual 3
P.J. Washington F Threes 1.5 OVER HIT Actual 4
Daniel Gafford F Points 8.5 OVER MISS Actual 8
Zaccharie Risacher F Points 10 MISS Actual 6
Cooper Flagg F Assists 5.5 UNDER MISS Actual 11
MIA — Home
Davion Mitchell G Reb+Ast 9.5 OVER MISS Actual 2
Bam Adebayo C-F Threes 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Giannis Antetokounmpo F Blocks 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1

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