NBA Final Intelligence

114 – 102

FINAL

Denver Nuggets 114, Indiana Pacers 102 — Recap

November 7, 2026 · Recap published November 7, 2026 · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Denver Nuggets seized control of the game early, outscoring the Indiana Pacers 27-19 in the opening quarter and building on that momentum before halftime. Denver dominated the second period with a 37-22 offensive surge, establishing a commanding cushion that proved decisive. Nikola Jokic orchestrated the attack with 19 points, 13 rebounds, and 8 assists, while Cameron Johnson added 18 points on 8-of-12 shooting and Jamal Murray contributed 16 points and 8 assists.

Indiana mounted a fierce response after the break, claiming the third quarter 37-26 behind Pascal Siakam's team-high 23 points, 5 assists, and 2 three-pointers on 10-of-18 shooting. Larry Nance Jr. provided a spark off the bench with 15 points, connecting on 5-of-7 attempts from beyond the arc. Despite the third-quarter push by the Pacers, the large deficit proved too steep to overcome.

Both teams played to a 24-24 stalemate in the final frame, allowing Denver to comfortably secure the 114-102 victory. The SportsFBI pregame model correctly favored Denver at a 75% probability as the Nuggets maintained their early advantage through the final buzzer.

#DenverNuggets #IndianaPacers #NBA #BasketballRecap

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Denver Nuggets (75% confidence). It gave a 19% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 12 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · DEN -7.5 DEN covered Won by 12

Total · 229.5 Under 216 combined

Moneyline DEN -320 · IND +260 DEN favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (IND) +6.5+7.5 +1

Total 229.5229.5 No move

Moneyline (IND) +190+260 +70

Standouts

Top Scorer · IND

Pascal Siakam

23 PTS, 2 REB, 5 AST, 2 3PM · 10-18 FG

Scoring · DEN

Nikola Jokic

19 PTS, 13 REB, 8 AST, 1 3PM · 7-20 FG

Scoring · DEN

Cameron Johnson

18 PTS, 4 REB, 1 AST, 2 3PM · 8-12 FG

Season highs

Larry Nance Jr. · Season-high 5 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

DEN 27 largest lead Q2 1:05 (DEN 64, IND 37) · 15-0 run, Q2 10:04–Q2 7:26

IND 5 largest lead Q1 10:18 (DEN 0, IND 5) · 9-0 run, Q3 8:23–Q3 6:42

Swings 1 lead changes Tied 0 times

Ahead for good: Nikola Jokic makes two point shot (Q1 8:36, DEN 8, IND 7).

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
DEN	27	37	26	24		114
IND	19	22	37	24		102

🧮 How They Scored

DENIND

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

51.0%Effective FG%52.7%

2.8%Turnover %9.5%

18.8%Offensive rebound %12.5%

0.198Free-throw rate0.076

Box Score

Denver Nuggets

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Nikola Jokic C	36	19	13	8	1	1	1	7-20	1-3	4-4	+4
Jamal Murray G	34	16	6	8	0	0	1	6-13	2-6	2-2	+5
Cameron Johnson F	29	18	4	1	1	0	1	8-12	2-5	0-0	+5
Christian Braun G	29	6	4	1	1	0	0	2-8	0-4	2-2	+4
Aaron Gordon F	27	12	5	0	0	0	0	5-13	0-6	2-4	+1
DeMar DeRozan G	22	11	1	5	0	0	0	5-9	0-2	1-2	+11
Spencer Jones F	21	13	6	0	0	1	0	5-6	3-3	0-0	+14
Trevon Brazile F	14	3	4	2	0	0	0	1-3	1-2	0-0	-1
Tyus Jones G	13	3	4	4	1	0	0	1-4	1-3	0-0	+7
Marvin Bagley III F	12	10	3	0	0	0	0	3-6	0-1	4-4	+8
Bryce Hopkins F	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	1-2	0-0	1-1	+2

Indiana Pacers

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Pascal Siakam F	32	23	2	5	0	0	0	10-18	2-7	1-2	0
Andrew Nembhard G-F	31	9	1	8	0	0	1	3-9	3-6	0-1	-8
Aaron Nesmith G-F	27	8	5	1	0	0	2	3-11	2-7	0-0	-10
Obi Toppin F	22	10	7	2	0	0	1	4-11	2-8	0-0	-10
Jarace Walker F	20	9	5	2	0	2	0	3-7	1-5	2-2	-2
Ivica Zubac C	19	10	12	5	0	0	2	4-5	0-0	2-2	-6
Quenton Jackson G	17	6	4	1	0	0	2	3-4	0-1	0-0	+3
Kelly Oubre Jr. F	16	2	1	0	0	2	0	1-5	0-3	0-0	-9
Larry Nance Jr. F	13	15	2	1	0	0	1	5-7	5-7	0-0	+1
Jalen Slawson F	12	4	1	2	1	0	0	2-3	0-1	0-0	+13
Braden Smith G	12	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-4	0-1	0-0	-12
Jay Huff F-C	10	0	3	0	0	0	0	0-3	0-2	0-0	-10
T.J. McConnell G	9	6	2	1	0	1	1	3-5	0-0	0-0	-10

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
Pascal Siakam IND	Points	20.5	23	Over
	Rebounds	6.5	2	Under
	Assists	3.5	5	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	2	Over
	Pts + Reb	27.5	25	Under
	Reb + Ast	10.5	7	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	31.5	30	Under
Nikola Jokic DEN	Points	25.5	19	Under
	Rebounds	11.5	13	Over
	Assists	9.5	8	Under
	3-pointers	1.5	1	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	47.5	40	Under
Cameron Johnson DEN	Points	12.5	18	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	4	Under
	Assists	2.5	1	Under
	3-pointers	1.5	2	Over
	Pts + Reb	16.5	22	Over
	Reb + Ast	6.5	5	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	18.5	23	Over
Aaron Gordon DEN	Points	13.5	12	Under
	Rebounds	5.5	5	Under
	Assists	2.5	0	Under
	3-pointers	1.5	0	Under
	Pts + Reb	18.5	17	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	21.5	17	Under
DeMar DeRozan DEN	Points	11.5	11	Under
	Rebounds	2.5	1	Under
	Assists	2.5	5	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	16.5	17	Over
Ivica Zubac IND	Points	9.5	10	Over
	Rebounds	7.5	12	Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series DEN 1 – 0 IND

Last 13 meetings · since 2020-21 DEN 12 – 1 IND

Previous meetingsOpen the recap

After this game

Denver Nuggets 5-3 W2 L10 5-3 Next game: @ HOU · Mon, Nov 9

Indiana Pacers 3-7 L1 L10 3-7 Next game: @ DAL · Mon, Nov 9

🔍 Key Suspects Results

2 of 2 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

DEN — Away

Aaron Gordon F Pts+Reb+Ast 21.5 UNDER HIT Actual 17

DeMar DeRozan G Assists 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 5

IND — Home

No picks for this team.

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