NBA Final Intelligence

124 – 114

FINAL

Los Angeles Lakers 124, Atlanta Hawks 114 — Recap

November 9, 2026 · Recap published November 9, 2026 · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Los Angeles Lakers established control early, building a 31-22 advantage in the first quarter against the Atlanta Hawks. Los Angeles extended that margin further by outscoring Atlanta 37-35 in the second period, sending the game into halftime with the visitors holding a comfortable cushion. Luka Doncic led the charge with 32 points, 10 assists, and 8 rebounds, shooting 11 of 22 from the floor with three makes from beyond the arc.

Atlanta mounted a response in the third quarter, manufacturing a 33-27 scoring edge to narrow the deficit heading into the final frame. CJ McCollum paced the Hawks with 21 points and 4 assists, hitting three shots from distance, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker added 20 points and four 3-pointers. However, the Atlanta offense could not fully close the gap as the Lakers steadied themselves down the stretch.

Los Angeles sealed the victory by taking the fourth quarter 29-24, securing the 124-114 final outcome. Sandro Mamukelashvili contributed heavily to the winning effort with 23 points and 8 rebounds, sinking five 3-pointers on 7-of-13 shooting, while Walker Kessler added a 21-point, 10-rebound double-double. The result validated SportsFBI's pregame analytical model, which had assigned a 53% win probability to the Lakers.

#LosAngelesLakers #AtlantaHawks #NBABasketball #LukaDoncic

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Los Angeles Lakers (53% confidence). It gave a 11% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 10 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · ATL -2.5 LAL covered Won by 10

Total · 233.5 Over 238 combined

Moneyline LAL +116 · ATL -136 ATL favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (ATL) +2.5-2.5 -5

Total 235.5233.5 -2

Moneyline (ATL) +130-136 -266

Standouts

Top Scorer · LAL

Luka Doncic

32 PTS, 8 REB, 10 AST, 3 3PM · 11-22 FG

Scoring · LAL

Sandro Mamukelashvili

23 PTS, 8 REB, 3 AST, 5 3PM · 7-13 FG

Scoring · LAL

Walker Kessler

21 PTS, 10 REB, 4 AST · 8-12 FG

Season highs

Sandro Mamukelashvili · Season-high 23 pointsCJ McCollum · Season-high 21 pointsSandro Mamukelashvili · Season-high 5 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

LAL 20 largest lead Q2 5:56 (LAL 54, ATL 34) · 16-0 run, Q1 3:07–Q2 11:29

ATL 8 largest lead Q1 8:22 (LAL 7, ATL 15) · 9-0 run, Q3 10:26–Q3 8:01

Swings 1 lead changes Tied 1 time

Ahead for good: Luka Doncic makes free throw 1 of 2 (Q1 2:00, LAL 23, ATL 22).

Clutch timeEvery score of the final five minutes

Q4 4:51 Collin Sexton makes 23-foot three point jumper (Ziaire Williams assists)LAL · LAL 113, ATL 106
Q4 4:31 CJ McCollum makes 24-foot three point jumper (Aaron Wiggins assists)ATL · LAL 113, ATL 109
Q4 3:51 Sandro Mamukelashvili makes free throw 1 of 2LAL · LAL 114, ATL 109
Q4 3:51 Sandro Mamukelashvili makes free throw 2 of 2LAL · LAL 115, ATL 109
Q4 3:30 Dyson Daniels makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)ATL · LAL 115, ATL 111
Q4 2:27 Luka Doncic makes 1-foot two point shotLAL · LAL 117, ATL 111
Q4 2:20 Ziaire Williams makes dunkLAL · LAL 119, ATL 111
Q4 1:51 Jake LaRavia makes 1-foot dunk (Luka Doncic assists)LAL · LAL 121, ATL 111
Q4 1:12 CJ McCollum makes 24-foot three pointer (Dyson Daniels assists)ATL · LAL 121, ATL 114
Q4 0:52 Matisse Thybulle makes 25-foot three point jumper (Sandro Mamukelashvili assists)LAL · LAL 124, ATL 114

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
LAL	31	37	27	29		124
ATL	22	35	33	24		114

🧮 How They Scored

LALATL

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

61.8%Effective FG%55.1%

13.6%Turnover %16.2%

22.2%Offensive rebound %27.3%

0.271Free-throw rate0.261

Box Score

Los Angeles Lakers

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Luka Doncic F-G	39	32	8	10	5	2	6	11-22	3-11	7-7	+4
Sandro Mamukelashvili F	32	23	8	3	1	1	0	7-13	5-8	4-4	+20
Jake LaRavia F	32	4	3	3	1	0	3	2-6	0-1	0-0	0
Walker Kessler C	30	21	10	4	1	1	4	8-12	0-0	5-6	-3
Ziaire Williams G-F	28	12	2	2	2	0	0	5-10	2-5	0-0	+5
Collin Sexton G	27	18	2	6	1	0	1	6-11	3-4	3-6	+7
Matisse Thybulle G-F	24	6	0	1	3	1	1	2-5	2-5	0-0	-3
Jarred Vanderbilt F	14	4	2	0	1	1	0	2-2	0-0	0-0	+7
Cameron Carr G	7	2	3	0	0	0	0	1-2	0-1	0-0	+8
Adou Thiero G	7	2	2	1	1	0	0	1-2	0-0	0-0	+5

Atlanta Hawks

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Jalen Johnson F	38	15	7	4	2	0	4	6-14	0-3	3-4	+5
Nickeil Alexander-Walker G	34	20	4	4	2	2	0	6-19	4-14	4-4	-14
Dyson Daniels G	31	10	6	8	4	0	1	4-4	1-1	1-2	+9
Onyeka Okongwu F-C	30	16	9	3	1	0	1	6-11	2-5	2-4	+9
CJ McCollum G	24	21	0	4	0	1	3	8-15	3-5	2-2	-13
Kingston Flemings G	24	8	3	4	2	0	4	2-5	1-2	3-4	+3
Aaron Wiggins G	23	15	3	3	0	0	3	5-11	4-7	1-1	-11
Luguentz Dort G	18	4	3	2	1	1	1	1-6	1-6	1-2	-19
Jock Landale C	14	5	5	1	0	1	2	2-3	1-1	0-0	-9
Zuby Ejiofor F	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-10

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
Luka Doncic LAL	Points	37.5	32	Under
	Rebounds	7.5	8	Over
	Assists	8.5	10	Over
	3-pointers	4.5	3	Under
	Pts + Reb	45.5	40	Under
	Reb + Ast	16.5	18	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	54.5	50	Under
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL	Points	9.5	23	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	8	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	5	Over
CJ McCollum ATL	Points	12.5	21	Over
	Rebounds	2.5	0	Under
	Assists	3.5	4	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	3	Over
Walker Kessler LAL	Points	14.5	21	Over
	Rebounds	11.5	10	Under
	Assists	1.5	4	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	27.5	35	Over
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL	Points	19.5	20	Over
	Rebounds	3.5	4	Over
	Assists	2.5	4	Over
	3-pointers	3.5	4	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	26.5	28	Over
Collin Sexton LAL	Points	14.5	18	Over
	Rebounds	2.5	2	Under
	Assists	2.5	6	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	3	Over