NBA Final Intelligence

OKC 4-2
117 – 112
FINAL
CLE 4-2

Oklahoma City Thunder 117, Cleveland Cavaliers 112 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Oklahoma City Thunder held off a late push from the Cleveland Cavaliers, securing a 117-112 victory primarily on the strength of a dominant second quarter. Cleveland established an early advantage, closing the first quarter with a 30-26 lead, featuring balanced scoring led by Donovan Mitchell's playmaking and contributions from Meleek Thomas and Evan Mobley.

Oklahoma City, however, seized control in the second period. Fueled by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's prolific scoring, the Thunder outscored the Cavaliers 33-18, transforming their deficit into a substantial 59-48 halftime lead. Gilgeous-Alexander finished the game with a commanding 43 points, complementing his scoring with 8 assists and 4 three-pointers. Ajay Mitchell also provided key offense for the Thunder, contributing 20 points.

The Cavaliers mounted a strong comeback effort in the second half. They outpaced the Thunder 36-31 in the third quarter, with Donovan Mitchell facilitating much of their offense, ultimately tallying 11 assists to go with his 17 points and 4 three-pointers. Meleek Thomas matched Mitchell's 17 points, adding 3 three-pointers, while Evan Mobley posted 16 points and 7 rebounds. Cleveland continued to press in the final quarter, outscoring Oklahoma City 28-27, but the early second-quarter surge by the Thunder proved insurmountable. SportsFBI's pregame model had slightly favored the Cavaliers at 53%.

#OklahomaCityThunder #ClevelandCavaliers #NBAGameRecap #ShaiGilgeousAlexander #DonovanMitchell

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Cleveland Cavaliers (53% confidence). It gave a 11% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 5 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · CLE -4.5 OKC covered Won by 5
Total · 229.5 Under 229 combined
Moneyline OKC +150 · CLE -178 CLE favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (CLE) -3.5-4.5 -1
Total 227.5229.5 +2
Moneyline (CLE) -168-178 -10

Standouts

Top Scorer · OKC
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
43 PTS, 4 REB, 8 AST, 4 3PM · 14-35 FG
Scoring · OKC
Ajay Mitchell
20 PTS, 5 REB, 1 AST · 7-16 FG
Scoring · CLE
Meleek Thomas
17 PTS, 5 REB, 1 AST, 3 3PM · 7-16 FG
Season highs
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · Season-high 43 pointsDonovan Mitchell · Season-high 11 assistsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Season-high 8 assistsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Season-high 4 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

OKC 14 largest lead Q3 9:26 (OKC 69, CLE 55) · 8-0 run, Q2 8:28–Q2 6:28
CLE 5 largest lead Q1 0:30 (OKC 25, CLE 30) · 8-0 run, Q3 4:49–Q3 3:12
Swings 19 lead changes Tied 9 times

Ahead for good: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes 24-foot three point step back jumpshot (Q4 0:25, OKC 115, CLE 112).

Clutch timeEvery score of the final five minutes
  • Q4 3:30 Evan Mobley makes free throw 1 of 2CLE · OKC 105, CLE 105
  • Q4 3:30 Evan Mobley makes free throw 2 of 2CLE · OKC 105, CLE 106
  • Q4 2:47 Evan Mobley makes layup (Donovan Mitchell assists)CLE · OKC 105, CLE 108
  • Q4 2:47 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throwOKC · OKC 106, CLE 108
  • Q4 2:47 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes 13-foot turnaround jump shotOKC · OKC 107, CLE 108
  • Q4 2:21 Evan Mobley makes free throw 2 of 2CLE · OKC 107, CLE 109
  • Q4 1:37 Isaiah Hartenstein makes 6-foot floating jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)OKC · OKC 109, CLE 109
  • Q4 0:43 Ajay Mitchell makes 14-foot pullup jump shotOKC · OKC 112, CLE 109
  • Q4 0:43 Sam Merrill makes 23-foot three point jumper (Donovan Mitchell assists)CLE · OKC 112, CLE 112
  • Q4 0:25 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes 24-foot three point step back jumpshotOKC · OKC 115, CLE 112
  • Q4 0:15 Ajay Mitchell makes free throw 1 of 2OKC · OKC 116, CLE 112
  • Q4 0:15 Ajay Mitchell makes free throw 2 of 2OKC · OKC 117, CLE 112

Linescore

1234 T
OKC 26333127 117
CLE 30183628 112

🧮 How They Scored

OKCCLE
50Points in the paint30
13Fast-break points7
22Second-chance points24
10Points off turnovers8
34Bench points34
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
49.0%Effective FG%54.4%
6.9%Turnover %6.5%
30.0%Offensive rebound %22.0%
0.235Free-throw rate0.267

🎯 Shot Chart

Oklahoma City Thunder42/98 FG
Isaiah Hartenstein: missed 1 ftAjay Mitchell: made 14 ftJaylin Williams: missed 22 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 13 ftKenrich Williams: made 15 ftKenrich Williams: missed 26 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 25 ftAjay Mitchell: missed 25 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 0 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 3 ftIsaiah Hartenstein: missed 6 ftAjay Mitchell: made 5 ftAjay Mitchell: missed 1 ftAday Mara: made 7 ftKenrich Williams: made 29 ftAjay Mitchell: missed 23 ftKenrich Williams: made 25 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 1 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 14 ftAday Mara: made 1 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 29 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 17 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 9 ftJared McCain: missed 24 ftAjay Mitchell: missed 3 ftAjay Mitchell: missed 22 ftMicah Peavy: made 23 ftJared McCain: made 0 ftMicah Peavy: missed 6 ftJared McCain: missed 11 ftAjay Mitchell: missed 9 ftAjay Mitchell: made 0 ftJared McCain: made 0 ftAjay Mitchell: made 10 ftJared McCain: missed 25 ftAjay Mitchell: made 1 ftIsaiah Hartenstein: missed 9 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 25 ftBennett Stirtz: made 23 ftBennett Stirtz: made 30 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 9 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 24 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 11 ftAjay Mitchell: missed 14 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 3 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 1 ftAjay Mitchell: made 1 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 16 ftJaylin Williams: missed 14 ftKenrich Williams: made 1 ftJaylin Williams: missed 25 ftKenrich Williams: made 1 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 12 ftIsaiah Hartenstein: made 0 ftJaylin Williams: made 22 ftIsaiah Hartenstein: missed 10 ftJaylin Williams: missed 23 ftIsaiah Hartenstein: missed 11 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 27 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 14 ftJared McCain: missed 9 ftJared McCain: missed 22 ftMicah Peavy: made 24 ftAday Mara: made 11 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 11 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 2 ftAday Mara: made 0 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 14 ftAday Mara: missed 1 ftAjay Mitchell: missed 5 ftJaylin Williams: missed 24 ftJared McCain: made 0 ftJared McCain: missed 23 ftMicah Peavy: missed 17 ftAjay Mitchell: missed 17 ftIsaiah Hartenstein: missed 0 ftJared McCain: missed 24 ftJared McCain: missed 7 ftAday Mara: made 5 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 1 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 13 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 19 ftBennett Stirtz: missed 25 ftBennett Stirtz: made 22 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 16 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 13 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 25 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 13 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 16 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 15 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 13 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 26 ftKenrich Williams: missed 23 ftIsaiah Hartenstein: made 6 ftAjay Mitchell: made 14 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: missed 12 ftShai Gilgeous-Alexander: made 24 ftAday Mara: missed 2 ft
  • 67%Restricted Area16 of 24
  • 50%Paint (non-RA)9 of 18
  • 20%Mid-Range5 of 25
  • 29%Left Corner 32 of 7
  • 50%Right Corner 33 of 6
  • 39%Above-break 37 of 18
Cleveland Cavaliers40/90 FG
Evan Mobley: made 1 ftJames Harden: missed 2 ftJarrett Allen: missed 0 ftEvan Mobley: missed 25 ftDonovan Mitchell: made 25 ftMeleek Thomas: missed 1 ftJames Harden: made 8 ftJames Harden: made 13 ftMeleek Thomas: missed 23 ftEvan Mobley: made 0 ftEvan Mobley: made 11 ftJarrett Allen: made 2 ftMeleek Thomas: missed 24 ftSam Merrill: missed 24 ftEvan Mobley: missed 25 ftMario Hezonja: missed 1 ftSam Merrill: missed 23 ftMeleek Thomas: made 1 ftSam Merrill: missed 25 ftJarrett Allen: missed 1 ftDonovan Mitchell: made 25 ftDonovan Mitchell: made 14 ftDonovan Mitchell: missed 3 ftJarrett Allen: made 0 ftTyrese Proctor: made 24 ftMario Hezonja: missed 23 ftDonovan Mitchell: missed 32 ftTyrese Proctor: made 30 ftJarrett Allen: missed 11 ftThomas Bryant: missed 23 ftEvan Mobley: missed 10 ftDonovan Mitchell: missed 10 ftThomas Bryant: made 14 ftEvan Mobley: missed 2 ftThomas Bryant: missed 10 ftThomas Bryant: made 5 ftDonovan Mitchell: missed 20 ftJames Harden: missed 25 ftThomas Bryant: missed 25 ftSam Merrill: missed 24 ftJames Harden: made 30 ftMeleek Thomas: made 12 ftJames Harden: missed 26 ftJarrett Allen: made 1 ftJarrett Allen: missed 2 ftJarrett Allen: missed 3 ftMeleek Thomas: made 24 ftMeleek Thomas: missed 17 ftMeleek Thomas: missed 26 ftJames Harden: missed 25 ftDonovan Mitchell: missed 1 ftMario Hezonja: missed 28 ftEvan Mobley: made 24 ftMeleek Thomas: missed 24 ftEvan Mobley: made 1 ftMeleek Thomas: made 17 ftDonovan Mitchell: made 25 ftJames Harden: made 25 ftJames Harden: made 23 ftMeleek Thomas: made 22 ftDonovan Mitchell: missed 23 ftMeleek Thomas: made 24 ftSam Merrill: missed 25 ftEvan Mobley: missed 24 ftMeleek Thomas: missed 26 ftMario Hezonja: missed 23 ftSam Merrill: made 25 ftMario Hezonja: made 27 ftMario Hezonja: made 1 ftDonovan Mitchell: made 9 ftDonovan Mitchell: missed 28 ftMario Hezonja: made 23 ftTyrese Proctor: missed 25 ftTyrese Proctor: made 0 ftDonovan Mitchell: made 24 ftMario Hezonja: made 25 ftDonovan Mitchell: missed 28 ftMario Hezonja: missed 25 ftJarrett Allen: made 4 ftMeleek Thomas: made 9 ftJarrett Allen: made 15 ftMeleek Thomas: missed 24 ftJames Harden: missed 25 ftDonovan Mitchell: missed 2 ftEvan Mobley: made 0 ftDonovan Mitchell: missed 11 ftMeleek Thomas: missed 0 ftSam Merrill: made 23 ftSam Merrill: missed 23 ftDonovan Mitchell: missed 25 ft
  • 45%Restricted Area10 of 22
  • 63%Paint (non-RA)5 of 8
  • 64%Mid-Range7 of 11
  • 25%Left Corner 31 of 4
  • 50%Right Corner 34 of 8
  • 35%Above-break 313 of 37

● made · ✕ missed, from the official shot log.

Box Score

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G 39433821114-354-811-12+7
Ajay Mitchell G 3520510107-160-36-6+1
Kenrich Williams G-F 3112310005-72-40-0+7
Isaiah Hartenstein F-C 2851442012-80-01-2-7
Jared McCain G 277920013-110-51-1+5
Jaylin Williams F 203321011-61-50-0-14
Aday Mara C 2010900125-70-00-0+8
Micah Peavy G-F 168500012-42-22-2-1
Bennett Stirtz G 129200013-43-40-0+9
Josh Dix SG 120100100-00-00-0+10

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Donovan Mitchell G 36175110036-174-91-4+5
James Harden G 3314461015-103-71-3-12
Evan Mobley F-C 3316741226-111-43-4-3
Jarrett Allen C 2814611105-100-04-6+11
Mario Hezonja F 2712832004-93-71-2-3
Meleek Thomas G 2617511007-163-90-0-5
Sam Merrill G 268321002-82-82-2-12
Tyrese Proctor G 1910420013-42-32-2+5
Craig Porter G 80410000-00-00-0-2
Thomas Bryant C 54000002-50-20-1-9

🔬 Advanced Stats

Oklahoma City ThunderTS% true shooting · USG% usage · NET net rating · PIE player impact
PlayerRoleMINPTSTS%USG%NETPIE
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Starter 38:364353.443.2+5.918.4
Ajay Mitchell Starter 35:132053.622.1-0.210.0
Kenrich Williams Starter 31:181285.79.1+9.08.3
Isaiah Hartenstein Starter 27:53528.213.9-16.29.9
Jaylin Williams Starter 20:00325.014.6-35.02.5
Aday Mara Bench 19:591071.418.8+10.610.8
Bennett Stirtz Bench 12:269112.515.2+23.814.5
Micah Peavy Bench 16:13882.014.3-3.114.0
Jared McCain Bench 26:39730.617.9+2.94.2
Brooks Barnhizer Bench 000.00.00.00.0
Josh Dix Bench 11:4300.00.0+35.11.1
Cleveland CavaliersTS% true shooting · USG% usage · NET net rating · PIE player impact
PlayerRoleMINPTSTS%USG%NETPIE
Donovan Mitchell Starter 36:211745.326.5+9.58.8
Meleek Thomas Starter 26:111753.125.4-9.38.1
Evan Mobley Starter 32:421662.720.3-7.715.8
Jarrett Allen Starter 28:111455.417.1+20.47.8
James Harden Starter 32:571461.815.6-17.99.2
Mario Hezonja Bench 26:301260.716.4-5.714.0
Tyrese Proctor Bench 18:3010102.515.0+16.415.1
Sam Merrill Bench 26:04845.014.8-20.47.2
Thomas Bryant Bench 4:54436.845.5-90.00.0
Craig Porter Bench 7:4000.00.0-21.09.1
Tristan Enaruna Bench 000.00.00.00.0
Riley Minix Bench 000.00.00.00.0

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC Points30.543 Over
Rebounds3.53 Under
Assists5.58 Over
3-pointers1.54 Over
Reb + Ast9.511 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast40.554 Over
Ajay Mitchell OKC Points17.520 Over
Rebounds3.55 Over
Assists3.51 Under
3-pointers1.50 Under
Reb + Ast7.56 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast25.526 Over
Donovan Mitchell CLE Points23.517 Under
Rebounds4.55 Over
Assists4.511 Over
3-pointers2.54 Over
Reb + Ast9.516 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast32.533 Over
Evan Mobley CLE Points17.516 Under
Rebounds8.57 Under
Assists3.54 Over
3-pointers1.51 Under
Reb + Ast12.511 Under
Jarrett Allen CLE Points12.514 Over
Rebounds8.56 Under
Assists1.51 Under
Pts + Reb20.520 Under
Reb + Ast9.57 Under
James Harden CLE Points18.514 Under
Rebounds4.54 Under
Assists6.56 Under
3-pointers2.53 Over
Reb + Ast11.510 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast29.524 Under

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series OKC 1 – 0 CLE
Last 13 meetings · since 2020-21 OKC 8 – 5 CLE
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Oklahoma City Thunder 5-2 W1 L10 5-2 Next game: vs CLE · Wed, Nov 4
Cleveland Cavaliers 4-3 L1 L10 4-3 Next game: @ OKC · Wed, Nov 4

🔍 Key Suspects Results

4 of 5 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

OKC — Away
Isaiah Hartenstein Isaiah Hartenstein F-C Assists 3.5 UNDER MISS Actual 4
Jared McCain Jared McCain G Pts+Reb 17.5 UNDER HIT Actual 15
Aday Mara C Assists 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Ajay Mitchell Ajay Mitchell G Points 15 HIT Actual 20
CLE — Home
Peyton Watson Peyton Watson G Points 12.5 UNDER VOID
Sam Merrill Sam Merrill G Rebounds 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 3

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