NBA Final Intelligence
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks β Recap
October 28, 2026 Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Dallas Mavericks systematically built a lead against the Oklahoma City Thunder on their way to a 120-96 victory. Dallas established an early advantage, outscoring the Thunder 33-30 in the first quarter and extending it with a 32-29 second quarter, entering halftime with a 65-59 lead. Cooper Flagg led the Mavericks' consistent offensive effort, contributing significantly to their early control of the game.
Dallas further widened the gap in the third quarter, posting a 29-22 advantage to take a commanding 94-81 lead. Flagg continued his impactful performance, finishing with 26 points, 5 rebounds, and 8 assists. P.J. Washington added 18 points and 9 rebounds, while Kyrie Irving provided 15 points and 4 assists, including 3 three-pointers, to solidify the Mavericks' offensive output. For Oklahoma City, Ajay Mitchellβs efficient scoring, with 29 points on 12-of-20 shooting, kept the Thunder within relative reach during stretches.
However, the Mavericks closed out the game with their largest quarter advantage, outscoring Oklahoma City 26-15 in the fourth to secure the 24-point win. Despite Mitchell's efforts, which included 2 threes, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 21 points, 6 rebounds, and 2 assists, the Thunder could not match Dallasβ balanced offensive display throughout the contest. The SportsFBI pregame model, which had leaned toward Oklahoma City with an 82% probability, ultimately missed the mark as Dallas dictated the pace and outcome.
How the Prediction Fared
SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Oklahoma City Thunder (82% confidence). It gave a 25% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 24 points.
Standouts
Full box score, every player's line and the play-by-play are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Linescore
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 30 | 29 | 22 | 15 | 96 | |
| DAL | 33 | 32 | 29 | 26 | 120 |
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