NBA Final Intelligence

OKC 4-0
96 – 120
FINAL
DAL 2-2

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks β€” Recap

October 28, 2026  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Dallas Mavericks systematically built a lead against the Oklahoma City Thunder on their way to a 120-96 victory. Dallas established an early advantage, outscoring the Thunder 33-30 in the first quarter and extending it with a 32-29 second quarter, entering halftime with a 65-59 lead. Cooper Flagg led the Mavericks' consistent offensive effort, contributing significantly to their early control of the game.

Dallas further widened the gap in the third quarter, posting a 29-22 advantage to take a commanding 94-81 lead. Flagg continued his impactful performance, finishing with 26 points, 5 rebounds, and 8 assists. P.J. Washington added 18 points and 9 rebounds, while Kyrie Irving provided 15 points and 4 assists, including 3 three-pointers, to solidify the Mavericks' offensive output. For Oklahoma City, Ajay Mitchell’s efficient scoring, with 29 points on 12-of-20 shooting, kept the Thunder within relative reach during stretches.

However, the Mavericks closed out the game with their largest quarter advantage, outscoring Oklahoma City 26-15 in the fourth to secure the 24-point win. Despite Mitchell's efforts, which included 2 threes, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 21 points, 6 rebounds, and 2 assists, the Thunder could not match Dallas’ balanced offensive display throughout the contest. The SportsFBI pregame model, which had leaned toward Oklahoma City with an 82% probability, ultimately missed the mark as Dallas dictated the pace and outcome.

#DallasMavericks #OklahomaCityThunder #NBANews #CooperFlagg #AjayMitchell

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Oklahoma City Thunder (82% confidence). It gave a 25% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 24 points.

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· OKC
Ajay Mitchell
29 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST, 2 3PM Β· 12-20 FG
Scoring Β· DAL
Cooper Flagg
26 PTS, 5 REB, 8 AST, 2 3PM Β· 10-23 FG
Scoring Β· OKC
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
21 PTS, 6 REB, 2 AST, 1 3PM Β· 7-19 FG

Full box score, every player's line and the play-by-play are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234 T
OKC 30292215 96
DAL 33322926 120

πŸ” Key Suspects Results

3 of 6 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

OKC — Away
Aday Mara C Rebounds 6 OVER MISS Actual 3
Isaiah Hartenstein F-C Points 10.5 UNDER HIT Actual 10
DAL — Home
Cooper Flagg F Pts+Reb+Ast 36.5 UNDER MISS Actual 39
P.J. Washington F Rebounds 6.5 OVER HIT Actual 9
Max Christie G Rebounds 3.5 OVER HIT Actual 5
Daniel Gafford F Pts+Reb 16.5 UNDER MISS Actual 18

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