NBA Final Intelligence

OKC 6-2
128 – 97
FINAL
MEM 6-2

Oklahoma City Thunder 128, Memphis Grizzlies 97 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Oklahoma City Thunder established control early and pulled away decisively, defeating the Memphis Grizzlies 128-97. Ajay Mitchell led the charge with 35 points, shooting 14-of-20 from the field including four three-pointers, while adding five assists. The Thunder set the tone in the opening period by outscoring Memphis 35-28, powered by an efficient offensive attack that quickly strained the Grizzlies' defense.

Oklahoma City blew the game open in the second quarter, doubling its halftime advantage by winning the frame 36-21 to build a commanding cushion. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander contributed 28 points on 11-of-22 shooting with three triples and four assists, and Jared McCain chipped in 21 points and five rebounds while sinking three three-pointers on 9-of-14 shooting.

After a tightly contested third quarter that ended even at 27-27, the Thunder slammed the door in the fourth by outscoring Memphis 30-21. Ty Jerome paced the Grizzlies with 21 points and five assists, and Zach Edey added 14 points and six rebounds, but Memphis could not mount a sustained comeback against Oklahoma City's relentless scoring pace. The final result validated the pregame analytics, as the SportsFBI model projected Oklahoma City with a 72% win probability.

#Thunder #Grizzlies #NBABoxScore #OklahomaCity

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Oklahoma City Thunder (72% confidence). It gave a 17% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 31 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · OKC -4.5 OKC covered Won by 31
Total · 223.5 Over 225 combined
Moneyline OKC -164 · MEM +138 OKC favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (MEM) +3.5+4.5 +1
Total 224.5223.5 -1
Moneyline (MEM) +144+138 -6

Standouts

Top Scorer · OKC
Ajay Mitchell
35 PTS, 1 REB, 5 AST, 4 3PM · 14-20 FG
Scoring · OKC
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
28 PTS, 3 REB, 4 AST, 3 3PM · 11-22 FG
Scoring · OKC
Jared McCain
21 PTS, 5 REB, 0 AST, 3 3PM · 9-14 FG
Season highs
Ajay Mitchell · Season-high 35 pointsJared McCain · Season-high 21 pointsAjay Mitchell · Season-high 4 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

OKC 37 largest lead Q4 1:37 (OKC 128, MEM 91) · 13-0 run, Q2 2:16–Q2 0:27
MEM 6 largest lead Q1 6:35 (OKC 10, MEM 16) · 6-0 run, Q1 9:11–Q1 7:58
Swings 2 lead changes Tied 4 times

Ahead for good: Jared McCain makes 24-foot three point jumper (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists) (Q1 4:52, OKC 18, MEM 16).

Linescore

1234 T
OKC 35362730 128
MEM 28212721 97

🧮 How They Scored

OKCMEM
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
64.1%Effective FG%38.6%
10.8%Turnover %15.0%
16.7%Offensive rebound %25.0%
0.174Free-throw rate0.352

Box Score

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Ajay Mitchell G 31351500214-204-73-5+33
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G 30283411411-223-53-3+12
Jared McCain G 2921504119-143-80-0+12
Isaiah Hartenstein F-C 262671131-40-00-0+31
Bennett Stirtz G 2412122004-52-22-2+7
Alex Caruso G 205621112-31-20-0+23
Kenrich Williams G-F 194630001-41-41-2+16
Aday Mara C 189700114-60-01-4+2
Micah Peavy G-F 187400103-81-40-0-2
Josh Dix SG 155211002-41-20-0+15
Brooks Barnhizer F 50000000-00-00-0+3
Dalen Terry F 50410000-20-10-0+3

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Cameron Boozer F 3181240022-140-84-4-30
Ty Jerome G 2821250037-142-75-5-16
Jaylen Wells F 257001022-71-42-2-31
Cedric Coward G 2310902044-92-50-0-9
Jerami Grant F 2210020014-62-20-0-11
Javon Small G 2110420023-91-43-4-25
Zach Edey C 2014610023-70-08-8-14
Cam Spencer G 197101002-51-42-2-8
Quinten Post C 150201000-70-50-0-6
Kris Murray F 132210000-30-32-2-9
Olivier-Maxence Prosper F 112310011-40-20-0+4
Taylor Hendricks F 44200001-21-11-20
Karim Lopez F 42000000-00-02-20
Jahmai Mashack G 40020010-10-00-00

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series OKC 1 – 0 MEM
Last 21 meetings · since 2020-21 OKC 15 – 6 MEM
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Oklahoma City Thunder 7-2 W3 L10 7-2 Next game: vs WAS · Sat, Nov 7
Memphis Grizzlies 6-3 L3 L10 6-3 Next game: @ TOR · Mon, Nov 9

🔍 Key Suspects Results

5 of 8 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

OKC — Away
Aday Mara C Rebounds 7.5 UNDER HIT Actual 7
Isaiah Hartenstein Isaiah Hartenstein F-C Points 9.5 UNDER HIT Actual 2
Jared McCain Jared McCain G Threes 2.5 UNDER MISS Actual 3
Alex Caruso Alex Caruso G Pts+Reb 11.5 OVER MISS Actual 11
MEM — Home
Zach Edey Zach Edey C Rebounds 8.5 UNDER HIT Actual 6
Cam Spencer Cam Spencer G Reb+Ast 7.5 OVER MISS Actual 1
Ty Jerome Ty Jerome G Assists 5.5 UNDER HIT Actual 5
Jerami Grant Jerami Grant F Threes 1.5 OVER HIT Actual 2

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