NBA Final Intelligence

OKC 1-0
116 – 104
FINAL
SAS 0-1

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs β€” Recap

October 20, 2026  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Oklahoma City Thunder established control early against the San Antonio Spurs, building a significant lead in the first half that ultimately proved insurmountable. The Thunder outscored the Spurs 34-28 in the opening quarter before extending their advantage decisively with a 31-16 run in the second period. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City's offensive charge, contributing 32 points on 13-of-27 shooting, while Jared McCain added 20 points, including six three-pointers on an efficient 7-of-9 from the field, powering the Thunder's early separation.

San Antonio mounted a determined comeback attempt after halftime, winning the third quarter 36-28 and the fourth quarter 24-23. Stephon Castle spearheaded the Spurs' effort with 24 points, making five three-pointers and grabbing seven rebounds. Dylan Harper chipped in 18 points and seven rebounds, while De'Aaron Fox facilitated the offense with seven assists and added 14 points, as the Spurs steadily chipped away at the deficit.

Despite San Antonio's persistent second-half push, the Thunder maintained enough of their early lead to secure the victory. Oklahoma City's initial dominance, particularly in the second quarter, provided a buffer that the Spurs, despite their strong finish, could not fully overcome. The game's outcome aligned with SportsFBI's pregame lean, which favored the Thunder at 51%.

#ThunderSpurs #NBAGame #GilgeousAlexander #StephonCastle

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Oklahoma City Thunder (51% confidence). It gave a 11% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 12 points.

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· OKC
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
32 PTS, 6 REB, 4 AST, 3 3PM Β· 13-27 FG
Scoring Β· SAS
Stephon Castle
24 PTS, 7 REB, 1 AST, 5 3PM Β· 9-21 FG
Scoring Β· OKC
Jared McCain
20 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST, 6 3PM Β· 7-9 FG

Full box score, every player's line and the play-by-play are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234 T
OKC 34312823 116
SAS 28163624 104

πŸ” Key Suspects Results

4 of 8 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

OKC — Away
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G Rebounds 3.5 UNDER MISS Actual 6
Ajay Mitchell G Assists 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 6
Chet Holmgren C-F Rebounds 7.5 OVER MISS Actual 7
Cason Wallace G Rebounds 3.5 OVER MISS Actual 3
SAS — Home
Devin Vassell G-F Rebounds 3.5 OVER MISS Actual 3
De'Aaron Fox G Assists 4.5 OVER HIT Actual 7
Stephon Castle G Rebounds 5.5 OVER HIT Actual 7
Victor Wembanyama F-C Points 25.5 UNDER HIT Actual 12

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