NBA Final Intelligence

SAS 0-2
122 – 106
FINAL
DAL 1-1

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks β€” Recap

October 24, 2026  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The San Antonio Spurs secured a 122-106 victory over the Dallas Mavericks, propelled by a balanced offensive performance and decisive runs in the second and fourth quarters. Victor Wembanyama led the Spurs with 23 points, alongside Dylan Harper, who contributed 22 points to the effort. Stephon Castle added 19 points and a game-high eight assists, while De'Aaron Fox also scored 19 points and distributed nine assists for San Antonio.

San Antonio established an early advantage, taking a narrow 32-31 lead after the first quarter. They extended their control significantly in the second period, outscoring Dallas 36-29 to build a substantial cushion by halftime. The Mavericks responded in the third quarter, trimming the deficit with a 29-24 run, setting the stage for a competitive final frame.

However, the Spurs reasserted their dominance in the fourth quarter, holding Dallas to just 17 points while scoring 30 themselves to seal the win. Sergio De Larrea paced the Mavericks' offense with 21 points. SportsFBI's model had indicated a 91% probability of a San Antonio victory before the game.

#SanAntonioSpurs #DallasMavericks #NBAGame #VictorWembanyama #DylanHarper

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the San Antonio Spurs (91% confidence). It gave a 41% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 16 points.

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· SAS
Victor Wembanyama
23 PTS, 7 REB, 2 AST, 2 3PM Β· 9-18 FG
Scoring Β· SAS
Dylan Harper
22 PTS, 5 REB, 2 AST, 3 3PM Β· 9-18 FG
Scoring Β· DAL
Sergio De Larrea
21 PTS, 5 REB, 4 AST, 3 3PM Β· 9-15 FG

Full box score, every player's line and the play-by-play are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234 T
SAS 32362430 122
DAL 31292917 106

πŸ” Key Suspects Results

6 of 8 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

SAS — Away
Victor Wembanyama F-C Assists 2.5 OVER MISS Actual 2
Devin Vassell G-F Rebounds 3.5 OVER HIT Actual 4
De'Aaron Fox G Assists 5.5 OVER HIT Actual 9
Stephon Castle G Points 15 HIT Actual 19
Dylan Harper G Points 15 HIT Actual 22
DAL — Home
Naji Marshall F Pts+Reb+Ast 28.5 UNDER HIT Actual 19
Daniel Gafford F Rebounds 6.5 UNDER MISS Actual 9
P.J. Washington F Pts+Reb+Ast 25.5 UNDER HIT Actual 18

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