NBA Final Intelligence

101 – 114

FINAL

Washington Wizards 101, Indiana Pacers 114 — Recap

November 11, 2026 · Recap published November 11, 2026 · View Preview

📰Game Recap

Pascal Siakam scored 28 points, grabbed 8 rebounds, and dished out 5 assists to lead the Indiana Pacers to a 114-101 victory over the Washington Wizards. Indiana edged Washington 26-25 in the opening quarter and extended the margin slightly by outscoring the Wizards 29-25 in the second period, building a halftime advantage. Ivica Zubac contributed 20 points and 12 rebounds for the Pacers, while Andrew Nembhard directed the offense with 10 assists to go with his 17 points.

The Wizards fought back in the third quarter, winning the period 27-22 to narrow the deficit heading into the final frame. KyShawn George paced Washington with 25 points, 9 rebounds, and 5 three-pointers on 9-of-20 shooting, and Anthony Davis added a double-double of 21 points and 13 rebounds.

Indiana pulled away decisively in the fourth quarter, outscoring Washington 37-24 to seal the 13-point win. The outcome matched the pregame projection from SportsFBI, whose model had listed the Pacers with a 58% win probability.

#Pacers #Wizards #NBA #Basketball

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Indiana Pacers (58% confidence). It gave a 12% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 13 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · IND -3.5 IND covered Won by 13

Total · 227.5 Under 215 combined

Moneyline WAS +124 · IND -146 IND favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (IND) -4.5-3.5 +1

Total 226.5227.5 +1

Moneyline (IND) -168-146 +22

Standouts

Top Scorer · IND

Pascal Siakam

28 PTS, 8 REB, 5 AST, 2 3PM · 7-17 FG

Scoring · WAS

KyShawn George

25 PTS, 9 REB, 3 AST, 5 3PM · 9-20 FG

Scoring · WAS

Anthony Davis

21 PTS, 13 REB, 0 AST · 7-20 FG

Season highs

Ivica Zubac · Season-high 20 points

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

WAS 8 largest lead Q2 6:05 (WAS 41, IND 33) · 9-0 run, Q1 5:13–Q1 2:29

IND 16 largest lead Q4 6:06 (WAS 84, IND 100) · 15-0 run, Q3 0:36–Q4 9:01

Swings 12 lead changes Tied 10 times

Ahead for good: Andrew Nembhard makes 27-foot three point jumper (Pascal Siakam assists) (Q4 12:00, WAS 77, IND 80).

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
WAS	25	25	27	24		101
IND	26	29	22	37		114

🧮 How They Scored

WASIND

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

47.2%Effective FG%52.2%

12.3%Turnover %9.9%

32.6%Offensive rebound %29.8%

0.244Free-throw rate0.270

Box Score

Washington Wizards

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
KyShawn George F	39	25	9	3	0	0	6	9-20	5-8	2-2	-12
AJ Dybantsa F	34	13	5	2	2	1	3	6-15	0-4	1-4	-18
Trae Young G	34	15	3	4	1	0	0	5-10	3-8	2-2	-11
Anthony Davis F-C	34	21	13	0	0	2	1	7-20	0-3	7-9	-11
Tre Johnson G	29	15	3	1	3	0	1	5-10	2-4	3-3	-3
Bilal Coulibaly G	25	5	5	2	1	1	0	2-5	0-3	1-2	+4
Alexandre Sarr C	25	5	8	0	0	0	2	2-6	1-3	0-0	-1
Carlton Carrington G	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0-2	0-0	-9
Deandre Ayton C	9	2	2	0	0	0	1	1-2	0-0	0-0	-4

Indiana Pacers

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Andrew Nembhard G-F	34	17	2	10	0	0	1	6-11	3-5	2-2	+17
Kelly Oubre Jr. F	34	14	6	1	4	1	0	7-15	0-5	0-0	+18
Pascal Siakam F	32	28	8	5	1	0	2	7-17	2-7	12-12	+15
Ivica Zubac C	31	20	12	1	0	2	2	9-15	0-0	2-2	+9
Aaron Nesmith G-F	22	2	1	1	0	0	0	1-6	0-4	0-0	+4
Quenton Jackson G	21	4	2	2	1	0	1	1-4	1-2	1-2	0
Obi Toppin F	16	8	3	1	0	0	2	3-7	2-4	0-0	-2
T.J. McConnell G	14	7	3	7	1	0	0	3-6	0-0	1-1	-4
Jalen Slawson F	12	2	3	1	1	0	0	1-2	0-0	0-0	+13
Jay Huff F-C	11	6	4	0	1	0	2	2-3	0-1	2-3	-8
Jarace Walker F	7	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-1	0-1	1-2	-9
Larry Nance Jr. F	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	1-1	0-0	+12

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
Pascal Siakam IND	Points	21.5	28	Over
	Rebounds	6.5	8	Over
	Assists	3.5	5	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	2	Over
	Reb + Ast	10.5	13	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	32.5	41	Over
KyShawn George WAS	Points	14.5	25	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	9	Over
	Assists	4.5	3	Under
	3-pointers	2.5	5	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	24.5	37	Over
Anthony Davis WAS	Points	22.5	21	Under
	Rebounds	10.5	13	Over
	Assists	2.5	0	Under
	Reb + Ast	12.5	13	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	35.5	34	Under
Ivica Zubac IND	Points	12.5	20	Over
	Rebounds	10.5	12	Over
	Assists	1.5	1	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	25.5	33	Over
Andrew Nembhard IND	Points	16.5	17	Over
	Rebounds	2.5	2	Under
	Assists	7.5	10	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	3	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	26.5	29	Over
Trae Young WAS	Points	18.5	15	Under
	Rebounds	2.5	3	Over
	Assists	8.5	4	Under
	3-pointers	2.5	3	Over
	Reb + Ast	11.5	7	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	30.5	22	Under

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series WAS 0 – 1 IND

Last 24 meetings · since 2020-21 WAS 12 – 12 IND

Previous meetingsOpen the recap

After this game

Washington Wizards 4-8 L5 L10 3-7 Next game: vs DET · Thu, Nov 12

Indiana Pacers 4-8 W1 L10 3-7 Next game: vs NYK · Fri, Nov 13

🔍 Key Suspects Results

5 of 5 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

WAS — Away

Bilal Coulibaly G Rebounds 3.5 OVER HIT Actual 5

AJ Dybantsa F Threes 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0

Tre Johnson G Points 7.5 OVER HIT Actual 15

IND — Home

Kelly Oubre Jr. F Points 8.5 OVER HIT Actual 14

T.J. McConnell G Points 6.5 OVER HIT Actual 7

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