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Receptions
3.5
67 · OVER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+7
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+9
Confirmed Role
+18
Fantasy Market Conviction
+13
Opponent Points Allowed
+4
Game Script
+6
Prop Line vs Projection
+8
Hit Rate
+14
Recent Form
+10
Season Average vs. Line
+8
Consistency
+4
Target Share
+9
Receiver Separation
+6
Red-zone Target Share
+3
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+2
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+2
Score = 67
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.