Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Chicago Bears face Seattle Seahawks in Week 8 at Lumen Field. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Chicago Bears enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 25.0 points scored and 19.8 allowed.
Seattle Seahawks enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 24.7 points scored and 20.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Chicago Bears’s 25.0 points per game against a Seattle Seahawks defense allowing 20.3. In the other direction, Seattle Seahawks average 24.7 against Chicago Bears’s 19.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Chicago Bears have injury designations to monitor: T.J. Edwards (LB) — Questionable; Jonah Jackson (G) — Questionable; Tony Fields II (LB) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Seattle Seahawks have injury designations to monitor: Drake Thomas (LB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Seattle Seahawks are Explosive-play differential; Home field / environment.
The strongest model adjustments toward Chicago Bears are Starting QB efficiency; Recent form.
The current model leans toward SEA at 55.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Chicago Bears 4-2
- 🏈 Record: Seattle Seahawks 3-3
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
SEAH Explosive-play differential +1.1 Very Strong
6% / 3% allowed | 6% / 8% allowed
SEAH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
SEA home field | SEA 18 days / CHI 15 days
SEAH Early-down efficiency +0.82 Moderate
44% / 37% allowed | 43% / 45% allowed
SEAH Pass defense +0.65 Moderate
SEA 4.3 net Y/A / 63.3% CMP / 75.3 RATE | CHI 7.1 / 62.6% / 99.9
CHIA Starting QB efficiency +0.62 Weak
Sam Darnold (2026) 60.4% CMP / 6.9 Y/A / 4.7% TD / 4.7% INT / 77.4 RATE · Caleb Williams (2026) 72.5% CMP / 7.8 Y/A / 3.3% TD / 1.1% INT / 101.5 RATE
CHIA Recent form +0.45 Moderate
SEA L2 · CHI W1
SEAH Game-script tendencies +0.39 Moderate
52% neutral pass / 58 plays | 52% / 69
CHIA Record quality +0.33 Moderate
SEA 3-3 · CHI 4-2
CHIA OL vs DL matchup +0.15 Weak
SEA OL sack 7.5% / DEF sack 8.2% | CHI 6.7% / 9.4%
CHIA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.15 Weak
52% / 79% allowed | 50% / 67% allowed
CHIA Third-down efficiency +0.13 Weak
SEA OFF 32.4% / DEF 28.0% | CHI 45.5% / 25.8% | PBP 53%/53%/19% | 53%/60%/25%
CHIA Schedule strength +0.12 Weak
SEA 49% opp wins · CHI 54%
CHIA Run-game matchup +0.07 Weak
SEA 3.9 rush Y/A / 3.5 allowed | CHI 4.5 / 4.5 | PBP 80% stuff avoided | 81% stuff avoided
SEAH Special teams efficiency +0.07 Weak
SEA FG 92.3% / NET PUNT 43.2 | CHI 72.7% / 45.6
CHIA Raw scoring differential +0.04 Weak
SEA 24.7 PPG · CHI 25.0 PPG | SEA 20.3 PA/G · CHI 19.8 PA/G
SEAH Turnover differential +0.04 Weak
SEA 2.0 GIVE / 1.8 TAKE | CHI 1.8 / 1.5
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