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Passing TDs
1.5
69 · OVER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+10
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+14
Confirmed Role
+14
Fantasy Market Conviction
+12
Opponent Points Allowed
+4
Game Script
+2
Prop Line vs Projection
+8
Hit Rate
+9
Recent Form
+9
Season Average vs. Line
+7
Consistency
+4
Recent Pass Attempt Volume
+12
Passing Yards per Attempt
+6
Offensive Sack Avoidance
+3
Completion Percentage over Expectation
+9
Red-zone Pass Attempts per Game
+2
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+6
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+3
Score = 69
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.