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Receptions
4.5
61 · UNDER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+8
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+10
Confirmed Role
+6
Fantasy Market Conviction
+11
Game Script
+6
Prop Line vs Projection
+4
Hit Rate
+12
Recent Form
+9
Season Average vs. Line
+7
Consistency
+4
Target Share
+7
Receiver Separation
+4
Red-zone Target Share
+7
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+3
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+6
Score = 61
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.