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Receiving Yards
70
68 · MILESTONE
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+10
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+8
Confirmed Role
+13
Fantasy Market Conviction
+17
Opponent Position Matchup
+4
Game Script
+2
Prop Line vs Projection
+6
Hit Rate
+12
Recent Form
+10
Season Average vs. Line
+9
Consistency
+4
Target Share
+12
Intended Air Yards Share
+10
Receiver Separation
+5
Yards after Catch
+2
Yards after Catch over Expected
+3
Red-zone Target Share
+3
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+4
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+2
Score = 68
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.