Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Dallas Cowboys face Seattle Seahawks in Week 13 at Lumen Field. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Dallas Cowboys enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 25.2 points scored and 26.5 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
Seattle Seahawks enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 24.7 points scored and 20.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Dallas Cowboys’s 25.2 points per game against a Seattle Seahawks defense allowing 20.3. In the other direction, Seattle Seahawks average 24.7 against Dallas Cowboys’s 26.5 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Dallas Cowboys have injury designations to monitor: DeMarvion Overshown (LB) — Questionable; KaVontae Turpin (WR) — Questionable; Dee Winters (LB) — Doubtful. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Seattle Seahawks have injury designations to monitor: Drake Thomas (LB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Seattle Seahawks are Pass defense; Explosive-play differential.
The strongest model adjustments toward Dallas Cowboys are Red-zone TD efficiency; Starting QB efficiency.
The current model leans toward SEA at 60.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Dallas Cowboys 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Seattle Seahawks 3-3
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
SEAH Pass defense +1.2 Strong
SEA 4.3 net Y/A / 63.3% CMP / 75.3 RATE | DAL 7.4 / 68.5% / 110.2
SEAH Explosive-play differential +1.1 Very Strong
6% / 3% allowed | 5% / 8% allowed
SEAH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
SEA home field | SEA 53 days / DAL 50 days
DALA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.46 Strong
52% / 79% allowed | 77% / 71% allowed
DALA Starting QB efficiency +0.44 Weak
Sam Darnold (2026) 60.4% CMP / 6.9 Y/A / 4.7% TD / 4.7% INT / 77.4 RATE · Dak Prescott (2026) 66.3% CMP / 6.7 Y/A / 4.1% TD / 2.0% INT / 90.1 RATE
SEAH Run-game matchup +0.40 Moderate
SEA 3.9 rush Y/A / 3.5 allowed | DAL 3.7 / 4.7 | PBP 80% stuff avoided | 80% stuff avoided
SEAH Record quality +0.33 Moderate
SEA 3-3 · DAL 2-4
SEAH Early-down efficiency +0.29 Weak
44% / 37% allowed | 49% / 47% allowed
SEAH Third-down efficiency +0.23 Moderate
SEA OFF 32.4% / DEF 28.0% | DAL 47.2% / 54.7% | PBP 53%/53%/19% | 80%/44%/30%
SEAH Raw scoring differential +0.18 Weak
SEA 24.7 PPG · DAL 25.2 PPG | SEA 20.3 PA/G · DAL 26.5 PA/G
SEAH Game-script tendencies +0.13 Weak
52% neutral pass / 58 plays | 62% / 60
SEAH Turnover differential +0.12 Weak
SEA 2.0 GIVE / 1.8 TAKE | DAL 1.2 / 0.5
SEAH Schedule strength +0.08 Weak
SEA 49% opp wins · DAL 44%
SEAH Special teams efficiency +0.06 Weak
SEA FG 92.3% / NET PUNT 43.2 | DAL 75.0% / 44.1
SEAH OL vs DL matchup +0.01 Weak
SEA OL sack 7.5% / DEF sack 8.2% | DAL 2.8% / 4.2%
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