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Receptions
3.5
76 · UNDER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+9
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+10
Confirmed Role
+13
Fantasy Market Conviction
+14
Opponent Points Allowed
+6
Game Script
+6
Prop Line vs Projection
+4
Hit Rate
+18
Recent Form
+10
Season Average vs. Line
+9
Consistency
+5
Target Share
+9
Receiver Separation
+7
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+4
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+6
Score = 76
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.