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Passing TDs
1.5
67 · OVER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+9
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+14
Confirmed Role
+14
Fantasy Market Conviction
+5
Opponent Points Allowed
+5
Game Script
+12
Prop Line vs Projection
+5
Hit Rate
+9
Recent Form
+7
Season Average vs. Line
+5
Consistency
+3
Recent Pass Attempt Volume
+11
Passing Yards per Attempt
+1
Offensive Sack Avoidance
+3
Completion Percentage over Expectation
+10
Red-zone Pass Attempts per Game
+5
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+6
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+4
Score = 67
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.