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Receiving Yards
40
75 · MILESTONE
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+10
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+8
Confirmed Role
+18
Fantasy Market Conviction
+14
Opponent Points Allowed
+7
Game Script
+5
Prop Line vs Projection
+8
Hit Rate
+18
Recent Form
+12
Season Average vs. Line
+9
Consistency
+5
Target Share
+7
Intended Air Yards Share
+3
Receiver Separation
+7
Yards after Catch
+3
Yards after Catch over Expected
+3
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+7
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+4
Score = 75
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.