Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Green Bay Packers face Los Angeles Rams in Week 12 at SoFi Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Green Bay Packers enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 21.2 points scored and 20.8 allowed. Their current streak is 3 wins.
Los Angeles Rams enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.5 points scored and 23.0 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Green Bay Packers’s 21.2 points per game against a Los Angeles Rams defense allowing 23.0. In the other direction, Los Angeles Rams average 22.5 against Green Bay Packers’s 20.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Green Bay Packers have injury designations to monitor: Aaron Banks (G) — Questionable; Benjamin St-Juste (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Los Angeles Rams have injury designations to monitor: Trent McDuffie (CB) — Questionable; Justin Dedich (G) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Los Angeles Rams are Early-down efficiency; Home field / environment.
The strongest model adjustments toward Green Bay Packers are Recent form; Record quality.
The current model leans toward LAR at 53.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Green Bay Packers 4-2
- 🏈 Record: Los Angeles Rams 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
LARH Early-down efficiency +1.0 Strong
51% / 44% allowed | 40% / 44% allowed
LARH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
LAR home field | LAR 38 days / GB 38 days
GBA Recent form +0.75 Strong
LAR L2 · GB W3
GBA Record quality +0.67 Strong
LAR 2-4 · GB 4-2
LARH Run-game matchup +0.61 Moderate
LAR 4.6 rush Y/A / 4.4 allowed | GB 2.9 / 4.0 | PBP 84% stuff avoided | 69% stuff avoided
LARH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.56 Strong
63% / 50% allowed | 50% / 75% allowed
LARH Third-down efficiency +0.51 Strong
LAR OFF 44.0% / DEF 32.9% | GB 35.5% / 43.4% | PBP 73%/38%/22% | 60%/36%/21%
LARH Schedule strength +0.31 Strong
LAR 63% opp wins · GB 47%
GBA Special teams efficiency +0.27 Moderate
LAR FG 60.0% / NET PUNT 41.5 | GB 76.9% / 47.3
GBA Game-script tendencies +0.26 Weak
60% neutral pass / 65 plays | 57% / 59
GBA Explosive-play differential +0.24 Weak
6% / 4% allowed | 8% / 4% allowed
GBA Turnover differential +0.22 Moderate
LAR 1.5 GIVE / 1.0 TAKE | GB 1.2 / 1.8
GBA OL vs DL matchup +0.08 Weak
LAR OL sack 3.8% / DEF sack 4.2% | GB 5.4% / 6.6%
GBA Starting QB efficiency +0.07 Weak
Matthew Stafford (2026) 65.9% CMP / 7.2 Y/A / 4.4% TD / 2.4% INT / 91.7 RATE · Jordan Love (2026) 59.7% CMP / 7.5 Y/A / 4.9% TD / 1.8% INT / 91.8 RATE
GBA Raw scoring differential +0.05 Weak
LAR 22.5 PPG · GB 21.2 PPG | LAR 23.0 PA/G · GB 20.8 PA/G
GBA Pass defense +0.03 Weak
LAR 5.3 net Y/A / 57.5% CMP / 77.2 RATE | GB 5.1 / 64.5% / 73.9
See the Full Analysis
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