Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Jacksonville Jaguars face Baltimore Ravens in Week 9 at M&T Bank Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Jacksonville Jaguars enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 25.7 points scored and 17.3 allowed.
Baltimore Ravens enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 26.0 points scored and 22.0 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Jacksonville Jaguars’s 25.7 points per game against a Baltimore Ravens defense allowing 22.0. In the other direction, Baltimore Ravens average 26.0 against Jacksonville Jaguars’s 17.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Jacksonville Jaguars have injury designations to monitor: Montaric Brown (CB) — Questionable; Antonio Johnson (S) — Questionable; Ross Matiscik (LS) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Baltimore Ravens have injury designations to monitor: Rashod Bateman (WR) — Questionable; Lamar Jackson (QB) — Questionable; Cam Jurgens (C) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Baltimore Ravens are Home field / environment; Pass defense.
The strongest model adjustments toward Jacksonville Jaguars are Schedule strength; Game-script tendencies.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Jacksonville Jaguars 4-2
- 🏈 Record: Baltimore Ravens 4-2
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
BALH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
BAL home field | BAL 18 days / JAX 18 days
BALH Pass defense +0.42 Weak
BAL 6.0 net Y/A / 65.0% CMP / 87.0 RATE | JAX 7.4 / 66.0% / 87.7
BALH Early-down efficiency +0.39 Weak
51% / 40% allowed | 47% / 44% allowed
JAXA Schedule strength +0.37 Strong
BAL 36% opp wins · JAX 54%
JAXA Game-script tendencies +0.35 Moderate
47% neutral pass / 58 plays | 55% / 58
JAXA Third-down efficiency +0.33 Moderate
BAL OFF 38.2% / DEF 39.5% | JAX 47.9% / 36.2% | PBP 56%/56%/21% | 80%/56%/30%
JAXA Run-game matchup +0.22 Weak
BAL 4.9 rush Y/A / 3.8 allowed | JAX 4.1 / 3.2 | PBP 78% stuff avoided | 80% stuff avoided
JAXA OL vs DL matchup +0.15 Weak
BAL OL sack 7.7% / DEF sack 7.1% | JAX 5.2% / 4.9%
JAXA Raw scoring differential +0.13 Weak
BAL 26.0 PPG · JAX 25.7 PPG | BAL 22.0 PA/G · JAX 17.3 PA/G
BALH Starting QB efficiency +0.11 Weak
Lamar Jackson (2026) 70.8% CMP / 10.1 Y/A / 6.3% TD / 1.0% INT / 119.6 RATE · Trevor Lawrence (2026) 65.2% CMP / 8.0 Y/A / 7.6% TD / 2.2% INT / 106.2 RATE
JAXA Turnover differential +0.10 Weak
BAL 0.7 GIVE / 1.0 TAKE | JAX 0.7 / 1.5
JAXA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.10 Weak
71% / 58% allowed | 67% / 40% allowed
BALH Explosive-play differential +0.08 Weak
7% / 6% allowed | 7% / 7% allowed
JAXA Special teams efficiency +0.05 Weak
BAL FG 76.9% / NET PUNT 44.5 | JAX 83.3% / 43.3
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