Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Kansas City Chiefs face Los Angeles Rams in Week 13 at SoFi Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Kansas City Chiefs enter with a 5-0 record across 5 completed games in this competition phase. They average 28.0 points scored and 16.6 allowed. Their current streak is 5 wins.
Los Angeles Rams enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.5 points scored and 23.0 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Kansas City Chiefs’s 28.0 points per game against a Los Angeles Rams defense allowing 23.0. In the other direction, Los Angeles Rams average 22.5 against Kansas City Chiefs’s 16.6 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Kansas City Chiefs have injury designations to monitor: Rashee Rice (WR) — Questionable; Josh Simmons (OT) — Questionable; Cooper McDonald (LB) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Los Angeles Rams have injury designations to monitor: Trent McDuffie (CB) — Questionable; Justin Dedich (G) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Los Angeles Rams are Home field / environment; Schedule strength.
The strongest model adjustments toward Kansas City Chiefs are Record quality; Recent form.
The current model leans toward KC at 56.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Kansas City Chiefs 5-0
- 🏈 Record: Los Angeles Rams 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
KCA Record quality +1.0 Very Strong
LAR 2-4 · KC 5-0
KCA Recent form +1.0 Very Strong
LAR L2 · KC W5
LARH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
LAR home field | LAR 46 days / KC 46 days
KCA Starting QB efficiency +0.88 Moderate
Matthew Stafford (2026) 65.9% CMP / 7.2 Y/A / 4.4% TD / 2.4% INT / 91.7 RATE · Patrick Mahomes (2026) 66.5% CMP / 8.3 Y/A / 5.7% TD / 1.9% INT / 103.1 RATE
LARH Schedule strength +0.50 Very Strong
LAR 63% opp wins · KC 30%
KCA Raw scoring differential +0.31 Moderate
LAR 22.5 PPG · KC 28.0 PPG | LAR 23.0 PA/G · KC 16.6 PA/G
KCA Run-game matchup +0.28 Weak
LAR 4.6 rush Y/A / 4.4 allowed | KC 5.5 / 3.5 | PBP 84% stuff avoided | 81% stuff avoided
KCA Turnover differential +0.23 Moderate
LAR 1.5 GIVE / 1.0 TAKE | KC 0.8 / 1.8
KCA Special teams efficiency +0.18 Moderate
LAR FG 60.0% / NET PUNT 41.5 | KC 76.9% / 49.5
KCA Explosive-play differential +0.17 Weak
6% / 4% allowed | 8% / 5% allowed
LARH Third-down efficiency +0.14 Weak
LAR OFF 44.0% / DEF 32.9% | KC 41.7% / 35.7% | PBP 73%/38%/22% | 61%/33%/31%
LARH Pass defense +0.12 Weak
LAR 5.3 net Y/A / 57.5% CMP / 77.2 RATE | KC 5.7 / 60.9% / 74.1
KCA Early-down efficiency +0.12 Weak
51% / 44% allowed | 49% / 38% allowed
KCA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.04 Weak
63% / 50% allowed | 57% / 42% allowed
LARH Game-script tendencies +0.03 Weak
60% neutral pass / 65 plays | 57% / 60
LARH OL vs DL matchup +0.01 Weak
LAR OL sack 3.8% / DEF sack 4.2% | KC 3.7% / 4.2%
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