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Receptions
3.5
60 · OVER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+8
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+11
Confirmed Role
+13
Fantasy Market Conviction
+11
Opponent Points Allowed
0
Game Script
+4
Prop Line vs Projection
+1
Hit Rate
+14
Recent Form
+11
Season Average vs. Line
+10
Consistency
+5
Target Share
+7
Receiver Separation
+2
Red-zone Target Share
+3
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+3
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+2
Score = 60
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.