← Back to Game Preview
Passing TDs
1.5
71 · UNDER
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+11
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+14
Confirmed Role
+14
Fantasy Market Conviction
0
Opponent Points Allowed
+5
Game Script
+4
Prop Line vs Projection
+8
Hit Rate
+12
Recent Form
+10
Season Average vs. Line
+8
Consistency
+4
Recent Pass Attempt Volume
+11
Passing Yards per Attempt
+7
Offensive Sack Avoidance
+3
Completion Percentage over Expectation
+10
Red-zone Pass Attempts per Game
+5
Opponent Pass Yards per Attempt Allowed
+3
Opponent Explosive Pass Rate Allowed
+6
Score = 71
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.