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Rushing Yards
80
76 · MILESTONE
EVIDENCE
Market Support
+8
Cross-Vendor Consensus
+6
Confirmed Role
+20
Fantasy Market Conviction
+14
Opponent Position Matchup
+2
Game Script
+8
Prop Line vs Projection
+6
Hit Rate
+12
Recent Form
+9
Season Average vs. Line
+8
Consistency
+4
Rush Attempt Share
+11
Recent Carry Volume
+7
Rush Yards over Expected per Attempt
+10
Red-zone Carry Share
+8
Goal-line Carry Share
+5
Opponent Rush Stuff Rate
+6
Score = 76
CONFIDENCE
NFL model weights are provisional -- see the workspace for the full factor breakdown and history.
See Every Key Suspect
Full Suspects list with evidence breakdowns and player prop edges for every NFL game — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.