NFL Final Intelligence
Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos β Recap
October 15, 2026 Β· Empower Field at Mile High Β· View Preview
Game Recap
Denver, a clear underdog, secured a hard-fought 17-14 victory over the Seattle Seahawks. The Broncos established a crucial lead during a dominant second quarter, then fended off a determined fourth-quarter comeback attempt by Seattle to secure the win on the road. This outcome defied pregame market expectations, which favored Seattle, a sentiment echoed by SportsFBI's proprietary model.
Seattle initially gained the advantage in the first quarter, with Jason Myers connecting on a 55-yard field goal for a 3-0 lead. Denver quickly countered in the second quarter, as J.K. Dobbins powered in for a 4-yard rushing touchdown. Later in the same period, RJ Harvey added another score from 1 yard out, both followed by successful Wil Lutz kicks, giving the Broncos a 14-3 lead. The scoreboard remained unchanged through a defensive third quarter. In the fourth, Seattle mounted a rally, first with George Holani's 1-yard rushing touchdown and a successful two-point conversion pass from Sam Darnold to Rashid Shaheed, cutting the deficit. Jason Myers then completed the comeback, tying the game at 14-14 with a 34-yard field goal.
The Broncos' surge in the second quarter, where they scored all 14 of their initial points, proved foundational, creating a lead Seattle could not fully erase. Despite extensive efforts, including Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 12 catches for 134 yards, the Seahawks' offense consistently struggled to convert opportunities into touchdowns. Quarterback Sam Darnold's two interceptions were particularly detrimental, stalling drives and preventing Seattle from gaining consistent momentum needed to overcome Denver's early advantage, even as they managed to tie the score late.
Ultimately, Denver's ability to capitalize on scoring chances early, coupled with defensive resilience against Seattle's spirited late push, allowed them to prevail. Despite tying the game late in the fourth quarter, the Seahawks could not push past the Broncos for the win. Following this contest, Denver improves to 4-2, while Seattle's record now stands at 3-3.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Seattle Seahawks (-130, 54% implied) over the Denver Broncos. Final: the Denver Broncos won 17β14, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Seattle Seahawks (57% confidence). Final: the Denver Broncos won 17β14, missing the call.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Quarter
The Denver Broncos scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter β the biggest single quarter of the game.
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