NHL Matchup Intelligence
Ottawa Senators vs New Jersey Devils
October 12, 2026 Β· 7:00 PM ET Β· Prudential Center
OTT 4-1-0
Β·
NJD 2-2-0
Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Matchup: Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils (Prudential Center), regular season. New Jersey Devils record: 2-2-0. Ottawa Senators record: 4-1-0. NJD last 10 (spanning the 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons): 5-5-0, 2.5 goals for and 3.4 against per game. OTT last 10 (spanning the 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons): 5-5-0, 2.3 goals for and 2.3 against per game.
Market: NJD implied 55% to win across 8 books; total 5.5 goals. SportsFBI model: leans NJD at 51% (market 55% home); expected goals NJD 2.8, OTT 2.7; 28% chance either team wins by 3+. Model factors: Rest advantage -0.7 points toward OTT (Rest days difference 0 (home minus away, capped at 3)); Recent goal differential -2.96 points toward OTT (Last-10 goal differential per game difference -0.90). Injury report: Connor Brown (NJD) Day-To-Day; Cameron Crotty (OTT) Injured Reserve; Jake Sanderson (OTT) Day-To-Day; William Eklund (OTT) Injured Reserve.
SportsFBI's model leans NJD at 51%, a provisional estimate rather than a certainty.
- Projected score: NJD 2.8 Β· OTT 2.7
- 3+ goal margin: 28%
SportsFBI Model
βοΈ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
Betting Lines DraftKings
π Key Suspects
Andre BurakovskyLW
Points Β· DraftKings
0.5 UNDER
Score 77 · View evidence ›
Drake BathersonRW
Goals Β· FanDuel
0.5 OVER
Score 72 · View evidence ›
Michael AmadioRW
Anytime Goal Β· FanDuel
1+ MILESTONE
Score 62 · View evidence ›
Tim StΓΌtzleC
Assists Β· BetMGM
0.5 OVER
Score 59 · View evidence ›
Luke HughesD
Shots on Goal Β· DraftKings
3+ MILESTONE
Score 70 · View evidence ›
Timo MeierRW
Shots on Goal Β· BetMGM
2.5 OVER
Score 67 · View evidence ›
Nico HischierC
Goals Β· FanDuel
0.5 UNDER
Score 64 · View evidence ›
Jack HughesC
Shots on Goal Β· FanDuel
3.5 OVER
Score 62 · View evidence ›
NHL evidence scores rank the strength of the evidence; they are not hit probabilities. Picks are locked before puck drop and graded against the final box score.
NHL evidence scores rank the strength of the evidence; they are not hit probabilities. Picks are locked before puck drop and graded against the final box score.
NHL evidence scores rank the strength of the evidence; they are not hit probabilities. Picks are locked before puck drop and graded against the final box score.
NHL evidence scores rank the strength of the evidence; they are not hit probabilities. Picks are locked before puck drop and graded against the final box score.
NHL evidence scores rank the strength of the evidence; they are not hit probabilities. Picks are locked before puck drop and graded against the final box score.
NHL evidence scores rank the strength of the evidence; they are not hit probabilities. Picks are locked before puck drop and graded against the final box score.
NHL evidence scores rank the strength of the evidence; they are not hit probabilities. Picks are locked before puck drop and graded against the final box score.
NHL evidence scores rank the strength of the evidence; they are not hit probabilities. Picks are locked before puck drop and graded against the final box score.
π More NHL Games β Monday, October 12, 2026
See the Full Analysis
All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges β available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.