NHL Final Intelligence

BUF 4-4-2
3 – 4
FINAL/OT
WSH 5-4-0

Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals β€” Recap

October 24, 2026  Β· Capital One Arena  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

Washington, D.C. β€” The Washington Capitals overcame an early two-goal deficit and rallied for a 4-3 overtime victory against the Buffalo Sabres, propelled by key offensive contributions and a significant shot advantage. Buffalo initially surged ahead in the first period when Jack Quinn scored at 6:27, assisted by Olen Zellweger and Zach Benson, for a 1-0 lead. Josh Doan, with an assist from Ryan McLeod, extended Buffalo's advantage to 2-0 at 10:36. Washington began its comeback later in the period, with Alex Tuch scoring at 16:10, assisted by Jordan Kyrou, to narrow the gap to 2-1 heading into the first intermission.

The Capitals continued their push in the second period, with Dylan Strome scoring twice to put Washington in front. Strome tied the game at 2-2 just 2:59 into the second, assisted by Jordan Kyrou and Jakob Chychrun. He then gave Washington its first lead of the game at 17:24, with assists from Justin Sourdif and Martin FehΓ©rvΓ‘ry, making it 3-2. The Sabres, however, would not yield, as Noah Ostlund found the back of the net at 2:20 of the third period, assisted by Owen Power and Rasmus Dahlin, to even the score at 3-3 and send the game to overtime. Washington dominated the shot count, finishing with 34 shots on goal compared to Buffalo's 21.

Alex Tuch sealed the victory for the Capitals in overtime, scoring at 3:42 with assists from Dylan Strome and Jakob Chychrun. Strome finished with two goals and an assist, while Tuch contributed two goals for Washington. Kyrou and Chychrun each added two assists. Washington goaltender Charlie Lindgren made 18 saves on 21 shots to earn the win, while Buffalo's Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 30 of 34 shots. SportsFBI's pregame model had leaned toward Washington winning at 59%, a projection that proved correct. Following the game, Washington improved its record to 5-4-0, and Buffalo moved to 4-4-2.

#CapitalsSabres #NHLRecap #DylanStrome #AlexTuch #OvertimeWin

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Favorite Won

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Washington Capitals (-120, 55% implied) over the Buffalo Sabres.

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Washington Capitals (59% confidence). It gave a 33% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· WSH
2 G, 1 A, 3 PTS, 5 SOG Β· 20:59 TOI
Goals Β· WSH
2 G, 0 A, 2 PTS, 3 SOG Β· 22:32 TOI
Goaltending Β· WSH
18 saves on 21 shots (.857) Β· W

Full box score, every player's line and the scoring plays are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

123OT T
BUF 2010 3
WSH 1201 4

Shots on goal: BUF 21, WSH 34

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